Tabatha Ricci vs Tecia Pennington Pick, 5/11/2024 Predictions UFC St. Louis Odds

Tabatha Ricci vs Tecia Pennington

UFC St. Louis

Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO

Saturday, May 11, 2024

Tabatha Ricci will enter the Octagon with Tecia Pennington at UFC St. Louis on Saturday, May 11, 2024. The opener has Ricci at -145 while Pennington is at +120.

Tabatha "Baby Shark" Ricci steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 61". Tecia "Tiny Tornado" Pennington stands 5'1" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her record of 13-6-0. The 34-year-old stretches 60". In the category of significant strikes, Tabatha Ricci is landing 4.41 per min while Tecia Pennington is landing 4.74 significant strikes per min. Ricci is landing 37% of the significant strikes she tries while Pennington is connecting on 48%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Baby Shark" allows 4.86 significant strikes per minute and "Tiny Tornado" takes 3.59. Ricci also thwarts 59% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Pennington is able to thwart 61% of the strikes thrown her way.

In terms of takedowns, Tabatha Ricci is the more skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 3.39 times per 3 rounds. Ricci is finishing her takedown attempts on 41% of her tries and thwarting 71% of the takedowns her opponents try. Pennington is getting her opponent to the mat on 14% of the takedowns she attempts and stopping 61% of the attempts against her. In terms of submissions, Ricci is the more capable fighter by going for 0.2 finishes per 15 min while Pennington goes for 0.1 finishes per 3 rds.

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In her previous fight, Tabatha Ricci fought Loopy Godinez and wound up taking the loss by split decision in round 3. Godinez ended up landing 101 of 225 total strikes attempted in that fight. Ricci finished this fight landing 91 of 232 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Godinez ended up landing 98 of 221, which means her percentage was 44%. She finished the fight landing 81 of 200 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Ricci ended up landing 37% of her significant strikes by landing 84 of 224. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 68 of 197 aimed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes landed by Godinez and 92% of them connected on by Ricci were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Tecia Pennington, she faced off with Mackenzie Dern and walked away with a loss by split decision in round 3. Dern landed 92% of her significant strikes at distance while Pennington connected on 98% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Pennington ended up connecting on 61% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 76 of 124. She landed 19 of 61 significant strikes directed at the head. Dern ended up landing 50 of 156 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up landing 42 of 147 to the head. Regarding total strikes that she let go, Dern ended up landing 58 of 164 while Pennington landed 78 of 126 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when JJ Aldrich opposes Veronica Hardy. Aldrich will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 13-6-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter reaches 67". Hardy comes in at 5'4" and will fight at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to her record of 8-4-1. The 28-year-old extends her reach 64". In the grappling category, JJ Aldrich gets a takedown 0.71 times per 3 rounds while Veronica Hardy takes her opponents to the canvas 1.27 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Aldrich is connecting on 4.05 strikes per min and connecting on 46% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Veronica Hardy, who lands 45% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 3.27 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Rodrigo Nascimento is set to clash with Derrick Lewis. Lewis comes into this bout holding a record of 27-12-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old weighs in at 260 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Nascimento stands in at 6'2" and will fight at 246 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 11-1-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old stretches 80". Concerning wrestling, Derrick Lewis thwarts 53% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedowns on 26% of the times he tries. Nascimento is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his tries and deflects 77% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Lewis is absorbing 2.48 strikes/minute while he deals 2.43 per min. Nascimento, on the other side, is absorbing 4.76 strikes per min and dishes out 4.31 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tabatha Ricci (-145)

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