Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerquiera Pick, 11/22/2025 Predictions UFC Qatar Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/17/2025

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerquiera

UFC Qatar

ABHA Arena in Doha, Qatar

Saturday, November 22, 2025

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev will enter the Octagon with Rafael Cerquiera at UFC Qatar on Saturday, November 22, 2025. The opening odds have Yakhyaev coming in at -1200 while Cerquiera is at +750.

Abdul "Hunter" Rakhman Yakhyaev holds a record of 7-0-0. The 24-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Rafael "The Lion" Cerquiera comes in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 11-3-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 76". When talking about significant strikes, Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev connects on 32.00 per min while Rafael Cerquiera is landing 1.61 significant strikes per minute. Rakhman Yakhyaev is connecting on 88% of the significant strikes he tries and Cerquiera lands 44%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Hunter" absorbs 2.00 significant strikes per min while "The Lion" takes 4.88. Rakhman Yakhyaev also stops 66% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Cerquiera is able to curb 36% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Rafael Cerquiera predictions best bet odds

UFC Qatar	Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev	Rafael Cerquiera
Opening Odds	-1200	+750
Record	7-0-0	11-3-0
Average Fight Time	0:30	6:01
Height	6'2"	6'3"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	78"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	32.00	1.61
Striking Accuracy	88%	44%

Regarding takedowns, Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.40 times per 3 rds. Rakhman Yakhyaev is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries and is stuffing 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Cerquiera is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 40% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Rakhman Yakhyaev is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rds while Cerquiera tries 0.6 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev went up against Alik Lorenz and wound up taking home the win via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Lorenz ended up landing 1 of 3 total strikes attempted in that contest. Yakhyaev finished this fight landing 16 of 18 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Lorenz landed 1 of 3, which gave him a percentage of 33%. He landed 0 of 2 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Yakhyaev landed 88% of his significant strikes by connecting on 16 of 18. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 13 of 14 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Lorenz and 37% of them landed by Yakhyaev were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Rafael Cerquiera, he battled Julius Walker and ended up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Walker connected on 40% of his significant strikes at distance while Cerquiera landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Cerquiera landed 45% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 19 of 42. He ended up landing 15 of 37 significant strikes to the head. Walker ended up landing 44 of 62 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 26 of 43 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Walker ended up connecting on 96 of 120 while Cerquiera landed 30 of 54 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Tagir Ulanbekov goes up against Kyoji Horiguchi. Ulanbekov has a mark of 17-2-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Horiguchi stands in at 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 34-5-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old extends his reach 66". In terms of takedowns, Tagir Ulanbekov takes his opponents to the canvas 2.94 times per 3 rounds and Kyoji Horiguchi scores a takedown 2.00 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Ulanbekov tags his opponents 3.37 strikes per min and connecting on 49% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Kyoji Horiguchi, who is landing 45% of the strikes he attempts and lands 3.60 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Aleksandre Topuria is set to face off against Bekzat Almakhan. Almakhan steps into the Octagon holding a record of 12-2-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Topuria stands 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 6-1-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 68". Concerning wrestling, Bekzat Almakhan is stopping 15% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries. Topuria is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries and prevents 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Almakhan is taking 4.29 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 0.68 strikes/min. Topuria, at the same time, absorbs 2.53 strikes/minute and is dealing 2.73 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (-1200)

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Pick:	Cincinnati +170
Start:	November 23, 2025 @ 5:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Take Cincinnati +170 over Inter Miami (5 p.m. EST, Sunday November 23) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time – a DRAW is a loser here) This line is the Messi Effect as there is great value on the Orange and Blue here at home at TQL Stadium for this single- elimination playoff match. Cincinnati got the advantage of playing at home by having a better record, and the fact that they are above Miami in the standings yet an underdog here at home tells you all you need to know about where the bookies expect the money to come in on this one. Messi is the biggest draw in MLS and he brings in all the cash. But this will be no easy match for Inter Miami. Miami has just two road wins in eight matches since the summer. They are just not as good of a team on the road as they are at home. Cincinnati is a very good team. Last time Miami visited, in July, they held Messi in check but came up big offensively in a 3-0 win. They have a +8 goal differential in their last two home matches against Miami. Just really great value here at this price and we expect Cincinnati to go through to the conference finals. Read More Read Less

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerquiera Pick, 11/22/2025 Predictions UFC Qatar Odds

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