Abus Magomedov vs Joe Pyfer Pick, 10/04/2025 Predictions UFC 320 Odds

Abus Magomedov vs Joe Pyfer

UFC 320

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 4, 2025

Abus Magomedov will face off against Joe Pyfer at UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The opening moneyline has Magomedov at +195 while Pyfer is coming in at -230.

Abus Magomedov comes into this fight with a mark of 28-6-1. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Joe "Bodybagz" Pyfer stands 6'2" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 14-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 75". When talking about significant strikes, Abus Magomedov is landing 3.21 per minute while Joe Pyfer connects on 3.74 significant strikes per min. Magomedov is landing 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Pyfer connects on 43%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Magomedov absorbs 3.68 significant strikes per min and "Bodybagz" allows 3.20. Magomedov also stops 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Pyfer is able to deflect 54% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning takedowns, Abus Magomedov is the better grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.65 times per 3 rds. Magomedov is finishing his takedown attempts on 57% of the times he tries and is stuffing 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. Pyfer is finishing his takedown tries on 42% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Magomedov is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Pyfer goes for 0.7 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Abus Magomedov squared up with Michel Pereira and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Pereira ended up landing 74 of 169 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Magomedov ended the night having landed 83 of 140 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Pereira landed 73 of 168, which gave him a rate of 43%. He landed 27 of 90 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Magomedov ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes by connecting on 78 of 134. Out of those significant strikes, he was 53 of 99 to the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Pereira and 92% of them connected on by Magomedov were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Joe Pyfer, he squared up with Kelvin Gastelum and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Gastelum ended up landing 96% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Pyfer ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Pyfer landed 50% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 57 of 114. He connected on 44 of 99 significant strikes to the head. Gastelum connected on 33 of 99 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 13 of 69 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go, Gastelum ended up connecting on 34 of 100 and Pyfer ended up landing 58 of 115 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ateba Gautier opposes Ozzy Diaz. Gautier walks into the cage with a record of 8-1-0. The 23-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The switch fighter reaches 81". Diaz stands 6'4" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 10-3-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 79". In the grappling category, Ateba Gautier gets a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds and Ozzy Diaz takes his opponents to the canvas 0.90 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Gautier tags his opponents 6.93 strikes per min and is connecting on 61% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Ozzy Diaz, who connects on 50% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 6.44 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Andre Muniz is set to clash with Edmen Shahbazyan. Shahbazyan looks to add a victory to his total of 15-5-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Muniz stands 6'1" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a record of 24-7-0. The 35-year-old reaches 78". When it comes to takedowns, Edmen Shahbazyan is thwarting 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of the times he tries. Muniz is taking his opponents to the mat on 49% of the tries he takes and defends against 35% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Shahbazyan is taking 3.62 strikes/min while he connects on 3.74 strikes per minute. Muniz, on the other hand, is absorbing 2.33 strikes/minute and is connecting on 2.04 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Abus Magomedov (+195)

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