Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev Pick, 11/22/2025 Predictions UFC Qatar Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/17/2025

Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev

UFC Qatar

ABHA Arena in Doha, Qatar

Saturday, November 22, 2025

Alex Perez will take on Asu Almabayev at UFC Qatar on Saturday, November 22, 2025. The opening line has Perez at +155 while Almabayev is coming in at -180.

Alex Perez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 25-9-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 65". Asu "Zulfikar" Almabayev stands in at 5'4" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 22-3-0. The 31-year-old reaches 65". When talking about significant strikes, Alex Perez lands 4.19 per min while Asu Almabayev is connecting on 2.16 significant strikes per minute. Perez is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he attempts while Almabayev connects on 54%. In terms of defending themselves, Perez absorbs 3.20 significant strikes per min and "Zulfikar" takes 1.75. Perez also defends 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Almabayev curbs 52% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Alex Perez predictions best bet odds

UFC Qatar	Alex Perez	Asu Almabayev
Opening Odds	+155	-180
Record	25-9-0	22-3-0
Average Fight Time	6:47	13:25
Height	5'6"	5'4"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	65"	65"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.19	2.16
Striking Accuracy	46%	54%

In terms of wrestling, Alex Perez is not as efficient of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 2.04 times per 3 rds. Perez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 46% of his attempts and is stopping 77% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Almabayev is scoring a takedown on 43% of his takedown attempts and defending 50% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Perez is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.8 subs per 15 min while Almabayev tries 1.5 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Alex Perez went up against Tatsuro Taira and ended up losing the fight by a leg injury to Perez in round 2. Taira ended up landing 43 of 78 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Perez finished this fight landing 45 of 81 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Taira landed 31 of 66, which gave him a rate of 46%. He ended up landing 25 of 57 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Perez ended up landing 53% of his significant strikes by sticking 41 of 77. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 22 of 49 pointed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Taira and 75% of them landed by Perez were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Asu Almabayev, he fought Jose Ochoa and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Ochoa ended up landing 65% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Almabayev ended up connecting on 59% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Almabayev ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 22 of 42. He landed 12 of 26 significant strikes directed at the head. Ochoa landed 26 of 45 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 8 of 19 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Ochoa connected on 118 of 151 and Almabayev ended up connecting on 55 of 90 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev faces off with Rafael Cerquiera. Rakhman Yakhyaev holds a record of 7-0-0. The 24-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Cerquiera comes in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 11-3-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 76". Regarding grappling, Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev gets a takedown 0.40 times per 15 minutes while Rafael Cerquiera gets a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Rakhman Yakhyaev tags his opponents 32.00 strikes/minute and is landing 88% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Rafael Cerquiera, who is landing 44% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 1.61 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Kyoji Horiguchi is set to take on Tagir Ulanbekov. Ulanbekov has a mark of 17-2-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Horiguchi stands in at 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 34-5-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old extends his reach 66". In the category of takedowns, Tagir Ulanbekov is able to curb 62% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of the times he tries. Horiguchi is finishing his takedowns on 44% of his tries and deflects 55% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Ulanbekov is taking 3.36 strikes per minute while he is dealing 3.37 per min. Horiguchi, notwithstanding, takes 2.45 strikes per min and deals 3.60 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Asu Almabayev (-180)

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Alex Perez vs Asu Almabayev Pick, 11/22/2025 Predictions UFC Qatar Odds

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