Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van
UFC 323
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Alexandre Pantoja will battle Joshua Van at UFC 323 on Saturday, December 6, 2025. The opening line has Pantoja priced at -225 while Van is at +190.
Alexandre "The Cannibal" Pantoja comes into this bout with a mark of 30-5-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Joshua "The Fearless" Van stands in at 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 15-2-0. The 24-year-old has a wingspan of 65". In terms of significant strikes, Alexandre Pantoja lands 4.36 per min and Joshua Van is connecting on 8.86 significant strikes per minute. Pantoja lands 50% of the significant strikes he tries and Van connects on 56%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Cannibal" takes 3.88 significant strikes per min and "The Fearless" takes 6.36. Pantoja also deflects 49% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Van is able to thwart 57% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC 323 | Alexandre Pantoja | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -225 | +190 |
| Record | 30-5-0 | 15-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:37 | 13:46 |
| Height | 5'5" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 67" | 65" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.36 | 8.86 |
| Striking Accuracy | 50% | 56% |
In the category of takedowns, Alexandre Pantoja is the more skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 2.80 times per 15 min. Pantoja is getting his opponent to the mat on 47% of his attempts and is stopping 69% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Van is taking his opponents to the mat on 63% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 81% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submissions, Pantoja is the more skilled technician by going for 1.0 sub per 15 minutes while Van tries 0.5 finishes per 15 min.
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In his previous bout, Alexandre Pantoja faced Kai Kara-France and ended up getting the victory in the fight by rear naked choke in round 3. Kara-France ended up landing 57 of 86 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Pantoja walked away from this fight having landed 70 of 107 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Kara-France ended up landing 38 of 67 , which means his percentage was 56%. He landed 26 of 53 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Pantoja landed 55% of his significant strikes by landing 42 of 76 . In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 28 of 61 pointed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes connected on by Kara-France and 95% of them connected on by Pantoja were done at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Joshua Van, he squared up with Brandon Royval and took home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Royval landed 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Van ended up landing 88% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Van connected on 66% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 204 of 305 . He connected on 138 of 232 significant strikes directed at the head. Royval connected on 215 of 467 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 179 of 422 aimed at the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Royval landed 216 of 468 while Van was 209 of 311 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Brandon Moreno squares up in the Octagon against Tatsuro Taira. Moreno will be looking to add a victory to his record of 23-8-2. The 31-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Taira stands 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 17-1-0. The 25-year-old reaches 70". In the grappling category, Brandon Moreno gets a takedown 1.51 times per 15 minutes and Tatsuro Taira takes his opponents to the canvas 3.21 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Moreno is connecting on 3.96 strikes/minute and is connecting on 44% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Tatsuro Taira, who is landing 60% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 2.87 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Payton Talbott is set to enter the Octagon with Henry Cejudo. Cejudo steps into the cage with a record of 16-5-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 64". Talbott stands in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 10-1-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 70". In terms of wrestling, Henry Cejudo is stopping 76% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 31% of his attempts. Talbott is finishing his takedowns on 25% of his attempts and prevents 76% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Cejudo is taking 3.46 strikes/minute and he dishes out 3.82 per minute. Talbott, on the other hand, absorbs 3.26 strikes/min and is landing 6.05 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Joshua Van (+190)
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