Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria Pick, 11/22/2025 Predictions UFC Qatar Odds

Bekzat Almakhan vs Aleksandre Topuria

UFC Qatar

ABHA Arena in Doha, Qatar

Saturday, November 22, 2025

Bekzat Almakhan will face off with Aleksandre Topuria at UFC Qatar on Saturday, November 22, 2025. The odds have Almakhan at +110 while Topuria is at -130.

Bekzat "The Turan Warrior" Almakhan steps into the Octagon holding a record of 12-2-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Aleksandre "El Conquistador" Topuria stands 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 6-1-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 68". With respect to significant strikes, Bekzat Almakhan lands 0.68 per min while Aleksandre Topuria lands 2.73 significant strikes per minute. Almakhan is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he throws while Topuria is landing 51%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Turan Warrior" absorbs 4.29 significant strikes per min and "El Conquistador" absorbs 2.53. Almakhan also deflects 32% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Topuria is able to thwart 70% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Bekzat Almakhan is not as efficient of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes. Almakhan is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his attempts and stopping 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Topuria is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Almakhan is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Topuria goes for 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Bekzat Almakhan squared up with Brad Katona and wound up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Katona ended up landing 1 of 4 total strikes attempted in that fight. Almakhan ended the night having landed 8 of 11 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Katona ended up landing 1 of 4, giving him a percentage of 25%. He landed 1 of 3 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Almakhan landed 72% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 8 of 11. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 7 of 10 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Katona and 75% of them landed by Almakhan were done at distance.

In the last fight for Aleksandre Topuria, he went up against Colby Thicknesse and took home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Thicknesse landed 92% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Topuria ended up connecting on 85% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Topuria connected on 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 41 of 79. He ended up landing 18 of 53 significant strikes to the head. Thicknesse landed 38 of 127 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 18 of 91 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Thicknesse was 40 of 131 while Topuria was 65 of 110 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ismail Naurdiev opposes Ryan Loder. Naurdiev walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 24-8-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Loder stands 6'2" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a record of 8-2-0. The 34-year-old reaches 76". Regarding grappling, Ismail Naurdiev gets his opposition to the mat 1.30 times per 3 rounds and Ryan Loder is averaging a takedown 1.57 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Naurdiev is landing 3.69 strikes per min and is landing 52% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Ryan Loder, who is connecting on 71% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 5.76 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Dan Hooker is set to encounter Arman Tsarukyan. Tsarukyan walks into the cage with a record of 22-3-0. The 29-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Hooker measures in at 6'0" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 24-12-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 75". When it comes to takedowns, Arman Tsarukyan is preventing 75% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 37% of the times he tries. Hooker is taking his opponents to the mat on 34% of his tries and defends against 78% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Tsarukyan takes 1.84 strikes per minute while he is landing 3.79 per min. Hooker, at the same time, is taking 4.72 strikes/min and dishes out 5.03 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Bekzat Almakhan (+110)

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