Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry Pick, 11/22/2025 Predictions UFC Qatar Odds
Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry
UFC Qatar
ABHA Arena in Doha, Qatar
Saturday, November 22, 2025
Belal Muhammad will enter the Octagon against Ian Machado Garry at UFC Qatar on Saturday, November 22, 2025. The odds have Muhammad priced at +190 while Garry is priced at -225.
Belal "Remember the Name" Muhammad looks to add a victory to his record of 24-4-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Ian "The Future" Machado Garry stands in at 6'3" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 16-1-0. The 27-year-old stretches 74". With respect to significant strikes, Belal Muhammad connects on 4.46 per min while Ian Machado Garry is landing 4.77 significant strikes per min. Muhammad lands 43% of the significant strikes he tries while Machado Garry connects on 54%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Remember the Name" takes 3.78 significant strikes per minute while "The Future" takes 2.77. Muhammad also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Machado Garry is able to defend against 51% of them.
| UFC Qatar | Belal Muhammad | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +190 | -225 |
| Record | 24-4-0 (1 NC) | 16-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:23 | 14:44 |
| Height | 5'11" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.46 | 4.77 |
| Striking Accuracy | 43% | 54% |
Concerning wrestling, Belal Muhammad is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.24 times per 15 min. Muhammad is scoring a takedown on 38% of the times he tries and thwarting 90% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Machado Garry is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of the takedowns he tries and defending 73% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Muhammad is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.1 subs per 3 rounds while Machado Garry goes for 0.4 subs per 3 rds.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Belal Muhammad fought Jack Della Maddalena and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Maddalena ended up landing 200 of 364 total strikes attempted in that fight. Muhammad ended the night having landed 155 of 349 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Maddalena ended up landing 178 of 342, which gave him a percentage of 52%. He ended up landing 113 of 254 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Muhammad landed 41% of his significant strikes by landing 132 of 318. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 119 of 297 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Maddalena and 87% of them connected on by Muhammad were done at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Ian Machado Garry, he fought Carlos Prates and wound up taking home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Prates landed 79% of his significant strikes at distance while Garry ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Garry connected on 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 126 of 242. He landed 86 of 185 significant strikes directed at the head. Prates ended up connecting on 63 of 129 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 38 of 97 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Prates ended up landing 64 of 132 and Garry ended up connecting on 141 of 259 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts on the card to watch out for
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Volkan Oezdemir enters the Octagon against Alonzo Menifield. Oezdemir will be looking to add a win to his record of 20-8-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Menifield measures in at 6'0" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 17-5-1. The 38-year-old has an arm span of 76". In terms of takedowns, Volkan Oezdemir takes his opponents down 0.50 times per 3 rds and Alonzo Menifield takes his opponents to the canvas 0.80 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Oezdemir tags his opponents 4.95 strikes per min and is connecting on 48% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Alonzo Menifield, who is landing 53% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.79 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Myktybek Orolbai is set to square up against Jack Hermansson. Hermansson comes into this fight holding a mark of 24-9-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Orolbai stands 5'10" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 14-2-1. The 27-year-old has a reach of 74". In terms of wrestling, Jack Hermansson is stopping 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 29% of the times he tries. Orolbai is taking his opponents down on 45% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 40% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Hermansson is taking 3.70 strikes/minute and he is connecting on 5.13 strikes per minute. Orolbai, on the contrary, is taking 3.08 strikes per minute and is landing 3.11 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Ian Machado Garry (-225)
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