Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena Pick, 05/10/2025 Predictions UFC 315 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/7/2025

Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena

UFC 315

Bell Centre in Montreal

Saturday, May 10, 2025

Belal Muhammad will enter the Octagon with Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 315 on Saturday, May 10, 2025. The opening moneyline has Muhammad priced at -192 while Maddalena is at +160.

Belal "Remember the Name" Muhammad walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 24-3-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Jack Maddalena Della measures 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 17-2-0. The 28-year-old reaches 73". In terms of significant strikes, Belal Muhammad lands 4.39 per min while Jack Della Maddalena connects on 6.74 significant strikes per min. Muhammad is connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he throws and Della Maddalena is connecting on 53%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Remember the Name" allows 3.48 significant strikes per min and Maddalena allows 4.27. Muhammad also defends 57% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Della Maddalena is able to stop 66% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Belal Muhammad ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 315	Belal Muhammad	Jack Della Maddalena
Opening Odds	-192	+160
Record	24-3-0 (1 NC)	17-2-0
Average Fight Time	14:53	8:44
Height	5'11"	5'11"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	72"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.39	6.74
Striking Accuracy	43%	53%

In the grappling category, Belal Muhammad is the better grappler as he takes his opponents down 2.28 times per 15 minutes. Muhammad is taking his opponents to the canvas on 39% of his tries and is stuffing 89% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Della Maddalena is taking his opponents to the canvas on 16% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Muhammad is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Della Maddalena tries 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Belal Muhammad went up against Leon Edwards and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 5. Edwards landed 89 of 114 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Muhammad walked away from this fight having landed 192 of 281 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Edwards ended up landing 47 of 71, which gave him a rate of 66%. He finished the fight landing 32 of 53 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Muhammad ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes by connecting on 68 of 121. Of all the significant strikes, he was 59 of 110 pointed at the head. 74% of the significant strikes landed by Edwards and 91% of them landed by Muhammad were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jack Della Maddalena, he faced off with Gilbert Burns and ended up getting the win by an elbow to the head in round 3. Burns ended up connecting on 85% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Maddalena connected on 70% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Maddalena connected on 54% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 67 of 123. He ended up connecting on 54 of 104 significant strikes directed at the head. Burns landed 27 of 58 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 16 of 43 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Burns connected on 31 of 63 while Maddalena was 85 of 146 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Jose Aldo squares up against Aiemann Zahabi. Aldo walks into the Octagon holding a record of 32-9-0. The 38-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Zahabi measures 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 12-2-0. The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In the grappling category, Jose Aldo gets a takedown 0.49 times per 15 minutes while Aiemann Zahabi takes his opponents to the canvas 0.16 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Aldo is landing 3.62 strikes per minute and is landing 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Aiemann Zahabi, who tags the opposition on 46% of the strikes he attempts and lands 4.06 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Kyle Prepolec is set to encounter Benoit Saint Denis. Saint Denis holds a mark of 13-3-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 73". Prepolec stands 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-8-0. The 35-year-old extends his reach 70". In the category of takedowns, Benoit Saint Denis curbs 68% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 37% of his attempts. Prepolec is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his attempts and is able to defend against 40% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Saint Denis is absorbing 4.98 strikes/minute and he is dishing out 5.17 strikes/min. Prepolec, on the other side, is taking 4.70 strikes per min and connects on 3.20 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Belal Muhammad (-192)

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less

Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena Pick, 05/10/2025 Predictions UFC 315 Odds

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