Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira
UFC 323
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Brandon Moreno will battle Tatsuro Taira at UFC 323 on Saturday, December 6, 2025. The opening moneyline has Moreno priced at +115 while Taira is at -135.
Brandon "The Assassin Baby" Moreno will be looking to add a victory to his record of 23-8-2. The 31-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Tatsuro "The Best" Taira stands 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 17-1-0. The 25-year-old reaches 70". Concerning significant strikes, Brandon Moreno is connecting on 3.96 per minute and Tatsuro Taira connects on 2.87 significant strikes per minute. Moreno lands 44% of the significant strikes he throws while Taira is landing 60%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Assassin Baby" allows 3.62 significant strikes per minute and "The Best" takes 2.54. Moreno also deflects 60% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Taira defends against 47% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC 323 | Brandon Moreno | Tatsuro Taira |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +115 | -135 |
| Record | 23-8-2 | 17-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 17:08 | 11:05 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 70" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.96 | 2.87 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 60% |
In terms of wrestling, Brandon Moreno is not as efficient of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.51 times per 3 rounds. Moreno is scoring a takedown on 44% of the times he tries and is stopping 64% of the takedowns his opponents try. Taira is taking his opponents down on 48% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 45% of the attempts against him. In terms of going for the submission, Moreno is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Taira looks to get 1.7 submissions per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Brandon Moreno faced Steve Erceg and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 5. Erceg ended up landing 119 of 282 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Moreno ended the night having landed 95 of 182 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Erceg ended up landing 116 of 279 , which gave him a percentage of 41%. He finished the fight landing 90 of 237 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Moreno ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 89 of 176 . In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 59 of 138 pointed at the head. 99% of the significant strikes connected on by Erceg and 97% of them connected on by Moreno were done at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Tatsuro Taira, he squared up with HyunSung Park and wound up taking home the win by a neck crank in round 2. Park landed 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Taira ended up landing 57% of his significant strikes at distance. Taira landed 63% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 7 of 11 . He ended up connecting on 6 of 10 significant strikes aimed at the head. Park ended up connecting on 3 of 9 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 6 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Park was 15 of 21 while Taira ended up connecting on 13 of 20 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Henry Cejudo squares up with Payton Talbott. Cejudo steps into the cage with a record of 16-5-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 64". Talbott stands in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 10-1-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 70". In the grappling category, Henry Cejudo gets a takedown 1.84 times per 3 rounds and Payton Talbott is averaging a takedown 0.24 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Cejudo is connecting on 3.82 strikes/minute and is landing 47% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Payton Talbott, who is connecting on 54% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 6.05 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Bogdan Guskov is set to enter the Octagon with Jan Blachowicz. Blachowicz walks into the Octagon holding a record of 29-11-1. The 42-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Guskov stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 18-3-0. The 33-year-old reaches 76". In terms of wrestling, Jan Blachowicz is able to thwart 69% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of the times he tries. Guskov is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Blachowicz is absorbing 3.03 strikes/min while he is landing 3.44 strikes per minute. Guskov, in contrast, takes 3.30 strikes per min and is dishing out 4.17 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Brandon Moreno (+115)
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