Chase Hooper vs Alexander Hernandez Pick, 08/16/2025 Predictions UFC 319 Odds
Chase Hooper vs Alexander Hernandez
UFC 319
United Center in Chicago
Saturday, August 16, 2025
Chase Hooper will battle Alexander Hernandez at UFC 319 on Saturday, August 16, 2025. The line has Hooper priced at -325 while Hernandez is priced at +275.
Chase "The Dream" Hooper comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-3-1. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Alexander "The Great Ape" Hernandez stands 5'9" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 16-8-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding significant strikes, Chase Hooper is landing 4.53 per minute and Alexander Hernandez connects on 4.38 significant strikes per min. Hooper lands 51% of the significant strikes he tries and Hernandez is landing 40%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Dream" absorbs 2.96 significant strikes per minute while "The Great Ape" takes 4.62. Hooper also defends 38% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Hernandez stops 57% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC 319 | Chase Hooper | Alexander Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -325 | +275 |
| Record | 16-3-1 | 16-8-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:09 | 10:31 |
| Height | 6'1" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.53 | 4.38 |
| Striking Accuracy | 51% | 40% |
In terms of grappling, Chase Hooper is the better wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.59 times per 15 minutes. Hooper is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of the times he tries and is stopping 55% of all takedown tries against him. Hernandez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 36% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 71% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to going for the sub, Hooper is the more capable fighter by attempting 2.2 subs per 15 min while Hernandez goes for 0.1 subs per 15 min.
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The last time he fought, Chase Hooper faced Jim Miller and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Miller landed 22 of 45 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Hooper ended the night having landed 59 of 94 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Miller ended up landing 13 of 35, which gave him a rate of 37%. He ended up landing 11 of 30 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Hooper ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by sticking 21 of 44. Out of those significant strikes, he was 13 of 34 to the head. 53% of the significant strikes connected on by Miller and 85% of them connected on by Hooper were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Alexander Hernandez, he squared up with Kurt Holobaugh and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Holobaugh landed 88% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Hernandez ended up landing 76% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Hernandez landed 39% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 59 of 149. He connected on 36 of 117 significant strikes to the head. Holobaugh landed 71 of 171 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 39 of 122 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Holobaugh ended up connecting on 106 of 215 while Hernandez ended up landing 87 of 186 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Edson Barboza squares up against Drakkar Klose. Barboza looks to add a victory to his career total of 24-12-0. The 39-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Klose stands 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 15-3-1. The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 70". When it comes to grappling, Edson Barboza is averaging a takedown 0.45 times per 15 min while Drakkar Klose takes his opponents to the canvas 1.65 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Barboza is landing 4.11 strikes/minute and is connecting on 44% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Drakkar Klose, who is connecting on 55% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 4.33 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Nursulton Ruziboev is set to square up in the Octagon with Bryan Battle. Battle will be looking to add a victory to his record of 13-2-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Ruziboev comes in at 6'5" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 36-9-2 (2 NC). The 31-year-old has a reach of 76". In the category of takedowns, Bryan Battle is thwarting 53% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 17% of the times he tries. Ruziboev is finishing his takedowns on 66% of the attempts he tries and stops 33% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Battle takes 4.11 strikes/min and he is landing 5.12 strikes per min. Ruziboev, on the other side, is taking 2.89 strikes per minute and is dishing out 2.59 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chase Hooper (-325)
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