Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson Pick, 10/11/2025 Predictions UFC Rio Odds
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson
UFC Rio
Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Saturday, October 11, 2025
Deiveson Figueiredo will battle Montel Jackson at UFC Rio on Saturday, October 11, 2025. The opening odds have Figueiredo at +260 while Jackson is priced at -310.
Deiveson "Deus da Guerra" Figueiredo comes into this fight with a mark of 24-5-1. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Montel "Quik" Jackson stands in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 15-2-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding significant strikes, Deiveson Figueiredo is landing 2.82 per min and Montel Jackson is connecting on 3.22 significant strikes per minute. Figueiredo is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he throws and Jackson lands 53%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Deus da Guerra" allows 3.64 significant strikes per minute while "Quik" takes 1.39. Figueiredo also stops 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Jackson is able to thwart 62% of them.
| UFC Rio | Deiveson Figueiredo | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +260 | -310 |
| Record | 24-5-1 | 15-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:38 | 10:24 |
| Height | 5'5" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 75" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.82 | 3.22 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 53% |
Concerning wrestling, Deiveson Figueiredo is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.69 times per 3 rds. Figueiredo is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of his tries and stuffing 58% of all takedown attempts. Jackson is scoring a takedown on 62% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 68% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Figueiredo is the more apt fighter by going for 1.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Jackson looks to get 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds.
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In his previous bout, Deiveson Figueiredo faced Cory Sandhagen and was on the losing end of this fight by a knee injury in round 2. Sandhagen landed 92 of 149 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Figueiredo walked away from this fight having landed 8 of 11 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Sandhagen ended up landing 54 of 87, giving him a percentage of 62%. He ended up landing 33 of 65 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Figueiredo landed 66% of his significant strikes by connecting on 6 of 9. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 4 of 6 pointed at the head. 44% of the significant strikes connected on by Sandhagen and 66% of them connected on by Figueiredo were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Montel Jackson, he faced off with Daniel Marcos and took home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Marcos ended up connecting on 76% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Jackson ended up connecting on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Jackson ended up connecting on 45% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 30 of 66. He connected on 25 of 58 significant strikes aimed at the head. Marcos connected on 17 of 32 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 5 of 18 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Marcos landed 24 of 43 while Jackson ended up connecting on 67 of 106 total strikes.
Other fights to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Vicente Luque takes on Joel Alvarez. Luque holds a mark of 23-11-1. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Alvarez stands 6'3" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 22-3-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 77". In the grappling category, Vicente Luque is averaging a takedown 0.97 times per 3 rds while Joel Alvarez is able to score a takedown 0.00 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Luque connects on 5.02 strikes per minute and is connecting on 51% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Joel Alvarez, who tags the opposition on 53% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 4.51 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Mario Pinto is set to square up in the Octagon with Jhonata Diniz. Diniz comes into this fight holding a mark of 9-1-0. The 34-year-old weighs 254 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 79". Pinto stands in at 6'5" and tips the scales at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 10-0-0. The 27-year-old stretches 79". In terms of wrestling, Jhonata Diniz deflects 78% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 0% of his attempts. Pinto is taking his opponents to the mat on 0% of his tries and is able to curb 100% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Diniz takes 3.71 strikes per min and he is connecting on 4.58 per minute. Pinto, moreover, takes 5.29 strikes per min and lands 3.67 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Montel Jackson (-310)
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