Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev Pick, 08/16/2025 Predictions UFC 319 Odds
Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev
UFC 319
United Center in Chicago
Saturday, August 16, 2025
Dricus Du Plessis will battle Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 319 on Saturday, August 16, 2025. The line has Plessis coming in at +180 while Chimaev is coming in at -210.
Dricus "Stillknocks" Du Plessis steps into the Octagon with a record of 23-2-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The switch fighter extends his reach 76". Khamzat "Borz" Chimaev measures in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-0-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 75". When talking about significant strikes, Dricus Du Plessis is landing 6.12 per min and Khamzat Chimaev connects on 5.36 significant strikes per min. Du Plessis lands 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Chimaev lands 58%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Stillknocks" absorbs 4.90 significant strikes per minute and "Borz" takes 3.25. Du Plessis also thwarts 54% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Chimaev curbs 41% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC 319 | Dricus Du Plessis | Khamzat Chimaev |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +180 | -210 |
| Record | 23-2-0 | 14-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:45 | 6:05 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'2" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 76" | 75" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.12 | 5.36 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 58% |
Concerning wrestling, Dricus Du Plessis is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 2.55 times per 15 min. Du Plessis is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his tries and thwarting 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Chimaev is finishing his takedown attempts on 46% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 90% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Du Plessis is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.7 subs per 3 rds while Chimaev goes for 2.8 subs per 3 rds.
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In his last fight, Dricus Du Plessis squared up with Sean Strickland and ended up getting the victory in the fight by unanimous decision in round 5. Strickland landed 128 of 263 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Plessis ended the night having landed 149 of 316 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Strickland ended up landing 128 of 263, giving him a percentage of 48%. He finished the fight landing 90 of 212 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Plessis landed 46% of his significant strikes by connecting on 147 of 314. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 50 of 193 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Strickland and 100% of them connected on by Plessis were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Khamzat Chimaev, he battled Robert Whittaker and wound up getting the win by rear naked choke in round 1. Whittaker connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Chimaev ended up connecting on 0% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Chimaev connected on 75% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 3 of 4. He landed 2 of 3 significant strikes directed at the head. Whittaker ended up connecting on 2 of 2 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 0 of 0 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Whittaker ended up connecting on 2 of 2 while Chimaev ended up connecting on 25 of 31 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Geoff Neal goes up against Carlos Prates. Neal comes into this bout with a mark of 16-6-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Prates measures 6'1" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 21-7-0. The 31-year-old reaches 78". Regarding grappling, Geoff Neal takes his opponents down 0.56 times per 3 rounds while Carlos Prates takes his opponents down 0.25 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Neal connects for an average of 5.05 strikes per min and lands 51% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Carlos Prates, who connects on 54% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 3.60 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Michael Page is set to enter the Octagon against Jared Cannonier. Cannonier comes into this fight holding a mark of 18-8-0. The 41-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 77". Page comes in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 23-3-0. The 38-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of grappling, Jared Cannonier stops 64% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 44% of the times he tries. Page is finishing his takedown tries on 20% of his attempts and stops 63% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Cannonier takes 4.49 strikes/minute and he is dishing out 4.60 strikes/minute. Page, at the same time, takes 1.78 strikes per min and is landing 2.53 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dricus Du Plessis (+180)
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