Dustin Jacoby vs Bruno Lopes Pick, 05/31/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 107 Odds
Dustin Jacoby vs Bruno Lopes
UFC Vegas 107
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, May 31, 2025
Dustin Jacoby will enter the Octagon against Bruno Lopes at UFC Vegas 107 on Saturday, May 31, 2025. The opening moneyline has Jacoby priced at -185 while Lopes is at +154.
Dustin "The Hanyak" Jacoby has a career mark of 20-9-1. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Bruno "Brunao" Lopes stands in at 6'2" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-1-0. The 32-year-old stretches 74". Regarding significant strikes, Dustin Jacoby connects on 5.33 per min while Bruno Lopes lands 2.89 significant strikes per minute. Jacoby connects on 47% of the significant strikes he throws while Lopes is connecting on 43%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Hanyak" absorbs 4.05 significant strikes per min and "Brunao" absorbs 3.00. Jacoby also deflects 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Lopes is able to stop 60% of the shots thrown.

UFC Vegas 107 | Dustin Jacoby | Bruno Lopes |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -185 | +154 |
Record | 20-9-1 | 14-1-0 |
Average Fight Time | 10:38 | 9:20 |
Height | 6'3" | 6'2" |
Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
Reach | 76" | 74" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.33 | 2.89 |
Striking Accuracy | 47% | 43% |
In terms of takedowns, Dustin Jacoby is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.33 times per 15 minutes. Jacoby is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of the times he tries and thwarting 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. Lopes is scoring a takedown on 33% of his takedown tries and thwarting 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submission attempts, Jacoby is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes while Lopes tries 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.
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In his last fight, Dustin Jacoby fought Vitor Petrino and ended up getting the win by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Petrino landed 40 of 96 total strikes attempted in that fight. Jacoby finished this fight landing 47 of 100 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Petrino ended up landing 40 of 96, giving him a percentage of 41%. He ended up landing 27 of 79 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Jacoby ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes by sticking 45 of 96. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 23 of 69 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Petrino and 86% of them landed by Jacoby were done at distance.
In the last fight for Bruno Lopes, he went up against Magomed Gadzhiyasulov and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Gadzhiyasulov landed 77% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Lopes connected on 24% of his significant strikes at distance. Lopes ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 33 of 70. He landed 21 of 48 significant strikes to the head. Gadzhiyasulov ended up connecting on 31 of 67 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he landed 9 of 40 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown, Gadzhiyasulov ended up connecting on 68 of 106 and Lopes connected on 73 of 126 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Zachary Reese squares up against Dusko Todorovic. Reese walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-2-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The switch fighter reaches 77". Todorovic comes in at 6'1" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 12-5-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the grappling category, Zachary Reese is able to score a takedown 3.50 times per 15 min while Dusko Todorovic takes his opponents to the mat 0.92 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Reese tags his opponents 4.94 strikes/minute and landing 58% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Dusko Todorovic, who lands 57% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 5.35 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Allan Nascimento is set to take on Jafel Filho. Filho looks to add a victory to his career total of 16-3-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Nascimento measures in at 5'8" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 20-6-0. The 33-year-old stretches 69". Regarding takedowns, Jafel Filho stops 55% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his attempts. Nascimento is finishing his takedown tries on 26% of the attempts he tries and deflects 16% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Filho is absorbing 2.00 strikes per minute and he is dealing 2.36 strikes/minute. Nascimento, in contrast, absorbs 2.28 strikes/min and is dealing 3.21 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dustin Jacoby (-185)
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