Erin Blanchfield vs Tracy Cortez Pick, 11/15/2025 Predictions UFC 322 Odds
Erin Blanchfield vs Tracy Cortez
UFC 322
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 15, 2025
Erin Blanchfield will battle Tracy Cortez at UFC 322 on Saturday, November 15, 2025. The opening line has Blanchfield at -240 while Cortez is coming in at +205.
Erin "Cold Blooded" Blanchfield looks to add a victory to her record of 13-2-0. The 26-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 66". Tracy Cortez stands in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her career record of 12-2-0. The 31-year-old stretches 65". Regarding significant strikes, Erin Blanchfield is landing 5.24 per min while Tracy Cortez lands 3.79 significant strikes per min. Blanchfield is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes she tries while Cortez is landing 49%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Cold Blooded" absorbs 4.21 significant strikes per minute while Cortez absorbs 2.84. Blanchfield also defends 59% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Cortez is able to stop 57% of the shots thrown.
| UFC 322 | Erin Blanchfield | Tracy Cortez |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -240 | +205 |
| Record | 13-2-0 | 12-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 14:07 | 16:15 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 66" | 65" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.24 | 3.79 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 49% |
When it comes to wrestling, Erin Blanchfield is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.86 times per 15 minutes. Blanchfield is scoring a takedown on 31% of her tries and defending 80% of all takedown attempts. Cortez is scoring a takedown on 47% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 62% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Blanchfield is the more skilled technician by trying 0.8 submissions per 15 min while Cortez goes for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.
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In her last bout, Erin Blanchfield went up against Rose Namajunas and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 5. Namajunas ended up landing 101 of 254 total strikes attempted in that fight. Blanchfield finished this fight landing 193 of 387 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Namajunas landed 94 of 245, which gave her a percentage of 38%. She finished the fight landing 68 of 212 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Blanchfield landed 39% of her significant strikes by sticking 110 of 281. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she was 81 of 248 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Namajunas and 93% of them landed by Blanchfield were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Tracy Cortez, she battled Viviane Araujo and took home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Araujo ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Cortez connected on 36% of her significant strikes at distance. Cortez connected on 63% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 65 of 103. She landed 53 of 82 significant strikes aimed at the head. Araujo landed 22 of 51 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, she ended up landing 16 of 45 to the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Araujo was 39 of 69 while Cortez ended up connecting on 102 of 143 of all the strikes she threw.
Other fights to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Angela Hill opposes Fatima Kline. Hill walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-15-0. The 40-year-old weighs 115 lbs and comes in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 64". Kline measures 5'6" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 8-1-0. The 25-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding grappling, Angela Hill is able to score a takedown 0.78 times per 3 rds while Fatima Kline is able to score a takedown 1.21 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Hill connects on 5.43 strikes per minute and connecting on 50% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Fatima Kline, who connects on 49% of the strikes she attempts and connects for an average of 3.94 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Islam Makhachev is set to clash with Jack Della Maddalena. Della Maddalena steps into the cage with a mark of 18-2-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a reach of 73". Makhachev comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 27-1-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In the category of takedowns, Jack Della Maddalena curbs 69% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 11% of his attempts. Makhachev is finishing his takedown tries on 53% of the tries he takes and deflects 90% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Della Maddalena is taking 4.53 strikes per min while he is dishing out 6.84 strikes per min. Makhachev, in contrast, is taking 1.55 strikes per min and dishes out 2.63 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tracy Cortez (+205)
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