Eryk Anders vs Christian Leroy Duncan Pick, 08/09/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 109 Odds

Eryk Anders vs Christian Leroy Duncan

UFC Vegas 109

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, August 9, 2025

Eryk Anders will face off with Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Vegas 109 on Saturday, August 9, 2025. The opener has Anders at +375 while Duncan is coming in at -500.

Eryk "Ya Boi" Anders has a career record of 17-8-0 (1 NC). The 38-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Christian "CLD" Leroy Duncan measures 6'2" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 79". With respect to significant strikes, Eryk Anders connects on 3.54 per min and Christian Leroy Duncan lands 4.75 significant strikes per min. Anders is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Leroy Duncan connects on 59%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Ya Boi" takes 4.05 significant strikes per minute while "CLD" allows 3.01. Anders also curbs 50% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Leroy Duncan is able to defend against 51% of them.

In the grappling category, Eryk Anders is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.71 times per 15 minutes. Anders is finishing his takedown attempts on 24% of the times he tries and defending 80% of all takedown attempts. Leroy Duncan is finishing his takedowns on 11% of his takedown attempts and is defending 72% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing opponents, Anders is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Leroy Duncan looks to get 0.7 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Eryk Anders faced Chris Weidman and took home the victory via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Weidman landed 27 of 50 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Anders ended the night having landed 121 of 193 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Weidman ended up landing 16 of 36, giving him a percentage of 44%. He ended up landing 11 of 30 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Anders landed 60% of his significant strikes by sticking 62 of 102. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 56 of 96 to the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Weidman and 11% of them landed by Anders were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Christian Leroy Duncan, he went up against Andrey Pulyaev and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Pulyaev ended up connecting on 77% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Duncan ended up landing 64% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Duncan ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 73 of 141. He connected on 35 of 87 significant strikes to the head. Pulyaev connected on 18 of 55 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 8 of 43 directed at the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Pulyaev was 36 of 78 and Duncan was 116 of 187 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Julius Walker squares up against Rafael Cerqueira. Walker steps into the Octagon with a mark of 6-1-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Cerqueira stands in at 6'3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a record of 11-2-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 76". In terms of takedowns, Julius Walker is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 3 rounds while Rafael Cerqueira scores a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Walker lands 5.73 strikes/minute and lands 50% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Rafael Cerqueira, who tags his opponent on 43% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 3.28 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Toshiomi Kazama is set to fight Elijah Smith. Smith walks into the Octagon holding a record of 8-1-0. The 22-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Kazama comes in at 5'7" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 11-4-0. The 28-year-old stretches 69". In terms of grappling, Elijah Smith is able to deflect 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 53% of his tries. Kazama is taking his opponents down on 12% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Smith absorbs 3.87 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 3.83 per min. Kazama, at the same time, is taking 3.89 strikes/minute and is connecting on 1.72 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Eryk Anders (+375)

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