Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko Pick, 08/09/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 109 Odds
Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko
UFC Vegas 109
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, August 9, 2025
Gabriella Fernandes will battle Julija Stoliarenko at UFC Vegas 109 on Saturday, August 9, 2025. The line has Fernandes coming in at -400 while Stoliarenko is priced at +300.
Gabriella "Gabi" Fernandes comes into this bout with a record of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The southpaw fighter extends her reach 66". Julija Stoliarenko stands 5'7" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 11-9-2. The 32-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding significant strikes, Gabriella Fernandes is landing 3.46 per minute and Julija Stoliarenko connects on 2.49 significant strikes per min. Fernandes connects on 46% of the significant strikes she attempts while Stoliarenko is landing 39%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Gabi" allows 5.50 significant strikes per min while Stoliarenko absorbs 4.54. Fernandes also prevents 49% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Stoliarenko curbs 46% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 109 | Gabriella Fernandes | Julija Stoliarenko |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -400 | +300 |
| Record | 10-3-0 | 11-9-2 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:27 | 10:08 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 66" | 66" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.46 | 2.49 |
| Striking Accuracy | 46% | 39% |
Regarding wrestling, Gabriella Fernandes is the not as competent as a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.56 times per 15 minutes. Fernandes is scoring a takedown on 18% of her tries and thwarting 60% of the takedowns her opponents try. Stoliarenko is taking her opponents to the canvas on 27% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 54% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Fernandes is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Stoliarenko tries 1.7 subs per 15 minutes.
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In her last fight, Gabriella Fernandes went up against Wang Cong and ended up winning this fight by rear naked choke in round 2. Cong ended up landing 48 of 113 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Fernandes walked away from this fight having landed 19 of 61 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Cong landed 46 of 111, giving her a percentage of 41%. She finished the fight landing 15 of 66 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Fernandes ended up landing 30% of her significant strikes by landing 18 of 59. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she connected on 13 of 50 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Cong and 100% of them landed by Fernandes were thrown at distance.
In the last fight for Julija Stoliarenko, she squared up with Luana Carolina and walked away with a loss by way of punches to the head in round 3. Carolina connected on 42% of her significant strikes at distance and Stoliarenko landed 68% of her significant strikes at distance. Stoliarenko ended up connecting on 27% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 16 of 59. She ended up connecting on 7 of 40 significant strikes aimed at the head. Carolina ended up connecting on 66 of 136 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she ended up landing 41 of 96 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Carolina was 138 of 230 while Stoliarenko ended up landing 21 of 68 of all the strikes she threw.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Roman Dolidze takes on Anthony Hernandez. Dolidze comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-3-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Hernandez measures 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 14-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Concerning takedowns, Roman Dolidze takes his opponents to the canvas 1.11 times per 3 rds while Anthony Hernandez gets a takedown 6.27 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Dolidze is connecting on 3.58 strikes per minute and lands 42% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Anthony Hernandez, who tags his opponent on 63% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 4.50 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Ode Osbourne is set to face off with Steve Erceg. Erceg has a record of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Osbourne stands 5'7" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 13-8-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In terms of grappling, Steve Erceg stops 63% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 26% of the times he tries. Osbourne is taking his opponents to the mat on 28% of his attempts and defends against 65% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Erceg takes 4.03 strikes per minute while he deals 4.45 strikes per min. Osbourne, in contrast, takes 3.82 strikes/minute and is connecting on 3.20 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Gabriella Fernandes (-400)
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