Grant Dawson vs Manuel Torres Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
Grant Dawson vs Manuel Torres
UFC 323
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Grant Dawson will take on Manuel Torres at UFC 323 on Saturday, December 6, 2025. The moneyline has Dawson at -210 while Torres is at +180.
Grant "KGD" Dawson walks into the cage with a mark of 23-2-1. The 31-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Manuel "El Loco" Torres measures 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 16-3-0. The 30-year-old reaches 73". Concerning significant strikes, Grant Dawson lands 3.20 per minute while Manuel Torres lands 7.87 significant strikes per min. Dawson is landing 52% of the significant strikes he tries and Torres connects on 60%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "KGD" absorbs 2.11 significant strikes per minute and "El Loco" absorbs 4.20. Dawson also defends against 44% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Torres curbs 52% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC 323 | Grant Dawson | Manuel Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -210 | +180 |
| Record | 23-2-1 | 16-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:21 | 2:30 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 73" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.20 | 7.87 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 60% |
In terms of wrestling, Grant Dawson is the more efficient grappler as he is able to score a takedown 3.87 times per 3 rds. Dawson is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of his tries and is stuffing 57% of all takedown tries against him. Torres is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 88% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Dawson is the more skilled fighter by attempting 1.1 finishes per 3 rds while Torres tries 1.0 finish per 3 rounds.
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In his last fight, Grant Dawson faced Diego Ferreira and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Ferreira landed 84 of 113 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Dawson walked away from this fight having landed 195 of 269 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Ferreira landed 41 of 61 , which means his percentage was 67%. He finished the fight landing 31 of 48 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Dawson landed 57% of his significant strikes by landing 56 of 98 . Of all the significant strikes, he landed 51 of 91 aimed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Ferreira and 33% of them connected on by Dawson were thrown at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Manuel Torres, he went up against Drew Dober and wound up getting the win by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Dober landed 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Torres landed 30% of his significant strikes at distance. Torres connected on 92% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 23 of 25 . He landed 21 of 23 significant strikes aimed at the head. Dober connected on 3 of 9 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 2 of 5 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Dober landed 3 of 9 while Torres ended up connecting on 23 of 25 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights on the card to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Terrance McKinney enters the Octagon with Chris Duncan. McKinney walks into the cage holding a record of 17-7-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The switch fighter reaches 73". Duncan measures 5'10" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old reaches 71". In terms of takedowns, Terrance McKinney gets a takedown 3.59 times per 15 minutes while Chris Duncan takes his opponents to the mat 3.17 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, McKinney is landing 5.78 strikes/min and lands 56% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Chris Duncan, who is connecting on 44% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 4.64 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Fares Ziam is set to enter the Octagon with Nazim Sadykhov. Sadykhov holds a career record of 11-1-1. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 69". Ziam comes in at 6'1" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-4-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 75". Concerning wrestling, Nazim Sadykhov is able to thwart 75% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents down on 55% of the times he tries. Ziam is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of his attempts and deflects 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Sadykhov is taking 5.89 strikes per min and he is connecting on 5.55 strikes/min. Ziam, in contrast, absorbs 1.62 strikes per minute and lands 2.85 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Manuel Torres (+180)
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