HyunSung Park vs Carlos Hernandez Pick, 05/17/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 106 Odds

HyunSung Park vs Carlos Hernandez

UFC Vegas 106

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 17, 2025

HyunSung Park will battle Carlos Hernandez at UFC Vegas 106 on Saturday, May 17, 2025. The opener has Park coming in at -148 while Hernandez is at +124.

HyunSung "Peace of Mind" Park walks into the cage with a mark of 9-0-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 66". Carlos Hernandez stands 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 10-4-0. The 31-year-old stretches 67". Regarding significant strikes, HyunSung Park connects on 4.15 per minute and Carlos Hernandez is connecting on 3.90 significant strikes per minute. Park lands 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Hernandez is connecting on 45%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Peace of Mind" absorbs 3.43 significant strikes per minute while Hernandez allows 3.43. Park also defends 59% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Hernandez deflects 50% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding grappling, HyunSung Park is not as efficient of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.54 times per 3 rds. Park is getting his opponent to the mat on 27% of the times he tries and stopping 85% of all takedown attempts. Hernandez is scoring a takedown on 21% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 67% of the tries against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Park is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 2.6 finishes per 3 rds while Hernandez looks to get 0.2 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, HyunSung Park went up against Shannon Ross and ended up getting the victory in the fight by a punch to the body in round 2. Ross landed 61 of 135 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Park walked away from this fight having landed 65 of 154 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Ross ended up landing 47 of 115, giving him a percentage of 40%. He ended up landing 25 of 88 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Park ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by sticking 50 of 124. Of those significant strikes, he landed 33 of 101 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Ross and 72% of them landed by Park were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Carlos Hernandez, he fought Nyamjargal Tumendemberel and ended up winning this fight by split decision in round 3. Tumendemberel connected on 92% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Hernandez ended up connecting on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Hernandez ended up connecting on 41% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 44 of 105. He connected on 26 of 85 significant strikes aimed at the head. Tumendemberel ended up connecting on 26 of 93 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 18 of 82 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Tumendemberel ended up landing 28 of 95 and Hernandez landed 46 of 110 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Luana Santos enters the Octagon against Tainara Lisboa. Santos comes into this bout with a mark of 8-2-0. The 25-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". Lisboa comes in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 7-2-0. The 34-year-old stretches 67". When it comes to grappling, Luana Santos is able to score a takedown 1.62 times per 3 rds and Tainara Lisboa takes her opponents to the canvas 2.05 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Santos lands 4.28 strikes/min and is landing 51% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Tainara Lisboa, who is landing 50% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 2.05 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Denise Gomes is set to face off against Elise Reed. Reed comes into this bout holding a record of 8-4-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Gomes stands 5'2" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 10-3-0. The 25-year-old extends her reach 63". In terms of wrestling, Elise Reed curbs 56% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 60% of her tries. Gomes is taking her opponents down on 25% of the tries she takes and prevents 67% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Reed takes 3.15 strikes per minute while she is dealing 3.50 strikes/minute. Gomes, on the contrary, is taking 3.11 strikes per min and is landing 4.55 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take HyunSung Park (-148)

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