Iasmin Lucindo vs Angela Hill Pick, 08/09/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 109 Odds
Iasmin Lucindo vs Angela Hill
UFC Vegas 109
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, August 9, 2025
Iasmin Lucindo will enter the Octagon against Angela Hill at UFC Vegas 109 on Saturday, August 9, 2025. The opening line has Lucindo coming in at -200 while Hill is priced at +170.
Iasmin Lucindo walks into the cage with a mark of 17-6-0. The 23-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 66". Angela "Overkill" Hill measures 5'3" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 18-14-0. The 40-year-old extends her reach 64". Regarding significant strikes, Iasmin Lucindo lands 2.94 per min while Angela Hill connects on 5.47 significant strikes per min. Lucindo is landing 44% of the significant strikes she attempts and Hill is connecting on 50%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Lucindo takes 2.53 significant strikes per min while "Overkill" absorbs 4.92. Lucindo also defends 65% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Hill defends against 61% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 109 | Iasmin Lucindo | Angela Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -200 | +170 |
| Record | 17-6-0 | 18-14-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:57 | 14:22 |
| Height | 5'3" | 5'3" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 66" | 64" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.94 | 5.47 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 50% |
Concerning wrestling, Iasmin Lucindo is the more productive wrestler as she takes her opponents to the mat 2.15 times per 15 minutes. Lucindo is getting her opponent to the mat on 60% of the times she tries and stopping 54% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Hill is taking her opponents to the canvas on 32% of the takedowns she tries and defending 75% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Lucindo is the more skilled technician by attempting 0.2 submissions per 3 rds while Hill tries 0.1 submissions per 3 rds.
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In her previous fight, Iasmin Lucindo squared up with Amanda Lemos and wound up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Lemos ended up landing 30 of 42 total strikes that she threw in that contest. Lucindo ended the night having landed 40 of 56 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Lemos ended up landing 12 of 21, which means her percentage was 57%. She finished the fight landing 8 of 16 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Lucindo landed 25% of her significant strikes by landing 4 of 16. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she was 2 of 12 aimed at the head. 58% of the significant strikes landed by Lemos and 25% of them connected on by Lucindo were thrown at distance.
In the last fight for Angela Hill, she fought Ketlen Souza and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Souza landed 87% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Hill ended up landing 73% of her significant strikes at distance. Hill ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 86 of 158. She ended up landing 40 of 96 significant strikes to the head. Souza ended up landing 70 of 138 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 41 of 101 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes that she let go, Souza ended up landing 77 of 146 and Hill ended up landing 103 of 176 of the strikes she threw in total.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Joselyne Edwards meets Priscila Cachoeira. Edwards has a career record of 15-6-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Cachoeira stands 5'7" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 13-6-0. The 36-year-old stretches 65". Regarding grappling, Joselyne Edwards takes her opponents to the mat 1.31 times per 3 rds while Priscila Cachoeira takes her opponents to the mat 0.15 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Edwards tags his opponents 4.62 strikes per minute and lands 53% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Priscila Cachoeira, who is landing 44% of the strikes she has attempted and lands an average of 4.03 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Julija Stoliarenko is set to battle Gabriella Fernandes. Fernandes comes into this bout with a record of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The southpaw fighter extends her reach 66". Stoliarenko stands 5'7" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 11-9-2. The 32-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding takedowns, Gabriella Fernandes defends against 60% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 18% of the times she tries. Stoliarenko is taking her opponents to the mat on 27% of her tries and is able to thwart 54% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Fernandes is taking 5.50 strikes per minute while she lands 3.46 strikes per minute. Stoliarenko, on the other hand, is absorbing 4.54 strikes/minute and is landing 2.49 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Iasmin Lucindo (-200)
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