Iwo Baraniewski vs Ibo Aslan Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
Iwo Baraniewski vs Ibo Aslan
UFC 323
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Iwo Baraniewski will enter the Octagon against Ibo Aslan at UFC 323 on Saturday, December 6, 2025. The line has Baraniewski at -185 while Aslan is priced at +160.
Iwo "Rudy" Baraniewski comes into this bout holding a record of 6-0-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Ibo "The Last Ottoman" Aslan stands in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 14-3-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 77". Regarding significant strikes, Iwo Baraniewski is connecting on 12.00 per min while Ibo Aslan lands 5.09 significant strikes per min. Baraniewski lands 66% of the significant strikes he tries while Aslan lands 47%. Regarding defense, "Rudy" allows 6.00 significant strikes per min while "The Last Ottoman" absorbs 3.47. Baraniewski also stops 33% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Aslan curbs 59% of them.
| UFC 323 | Iwo Baraniewski | Ibo Aslan |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -185 | +160 |
| Record | 6-0-0 | 14-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 0:20 | 6:31 |
| Height | 6'0" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 77" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 12.00 | 5.09 |
| Striking Accuracy | 66% | 47% |
In terms of grappling, Iwo Baraniewski is the better wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.90 times per 15 minutes. Baraniewski is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries and defending 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Aslan is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 86% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to sub attempts, Baraniewski is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.5 finishes per 3 rds while Aslan looks to get 0.9 finishes per 15 min.
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In his last bout, Iwo Baraniewski went up against Mahamed Aly and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Aly landed 2 of 3 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Baraniewski ended the night having landed 4 of 6 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Aly ended up landing 2 of 3 , giving him a percentage of 66%. He landed 0 of 1 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Baraniewski landed 66% of his significant strikes by connecting on 4 of 6 . Of all the significant strikes, he was 4 of 6 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Aly and 25% of them landed by Baraniewski were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Ibo Aslan, he battled Billy Elekana and took a loss on the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Elekana connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Aslan ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Aslan connected on 35% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 28 of 78 . He connected on 10 of 57 significant strikes aimed at the head. Elekana connected on 35 of 68 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 18 of 46 to the head. Relating to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Elekana landed 35 of 68 and Aslan was 29 of 80 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Mansur Abdul-Malik battles Antonio Trocoli. Abdul-Malik comes into this fight with a record of 8-0-1. The 28-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 80". Trocoli stands 6'6" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 12-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stretches 79". In the grappling category, Mansur Abdul-Malik gets a takedown 0.49 times per 3 rds while Antonio Trocoli takes his opponents to the canvas 0.84 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Abdul-Malik is landing 4.27 strikes/min and is landing 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Antonio Trocoli, who lands 50% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 1.29 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Mairon Santos is set to square up against Muhammad Naimov. Naimov will be looking to add a win to his record of 13-3-0. The 31-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Santos comes in at 5'7" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 17-1-0. The 25-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding takedowns, Muhammad Naimov prevents 67% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of his tries. Santos is taking his opponents down on 15% of his tries and stops 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Naimov is taking 3.45 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 2.61 strikes per min. Santos, moreover, is taking 2.38 strikes per min and deals 3.53 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Iwo Baraniewski (-185)
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