Jose Aldo vs Aiemann Zahabi Pick, 05/10/2025 Predictions UFC 315 Odds

Jose Aldo vs Aiemann Zahabi

UFC 315

Bell Centre in Montreal

Saturday, May 10, 2025

Jose Aldo will face off with Aiemann Zahabi at UFC 315 on Saturday, May 10, 2025. The line has Aldo at -218 while Zahabi is coming in at +180.

Jose Aldo walks into the Octagon holding a record of 32-9-0. The 38-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Aiemann Zahabi measures 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 12-2-0. The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In the category of significant strikes, Jose Aldo is connecting on 3.62 per minute while Aiemann Zahabi connects on 4.06 significant strikes per min. Aldo lands 46% of the significant strikes he throws while Zahabi connects on 46%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Aldo takes 3.72 significant strikes per min while Zahabi takes 4.06. Aldo also thwarts 60% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Zahabi is able to stop 71% of the strikes thrown his way.

In terms of wrestling, Jose Aldo is the more effective wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.49 times per 3 rds. Aldo is getting his opponent to the mat on 53% of his attempts and defending 92% of all takedown attempts. Zahabi is taking his opponents down on 14% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 83% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Aldo is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.1 submissions per 3 rds while Zahabi tries 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Jose Aldo squared up with Mario Bautista and was defeated by split decision in round 3. Bautista ended up landing 90 of 196 total strikes that he let go. Aldo finished this fight landing 65 of 139 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Bautista landed 49 of 142, giving him a percentage of 34%. He landed 26 of 111 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Aldo ended up landing 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 51 of 117. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 41 of 105 pointed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes landed by Bautista and 90% of them landed by Aldo were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Aiemann Zahabi, he squared up with Pedro Munhoz and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Munhoz ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Zahabi ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Zahabi ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 109 of 206. He landed 98 of 188 significant strikes directed at the head. Munhoz ended up landing 95 of 327 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 82 of 304 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Munhoz landed 95 of 327 and Zahabi landed 110 of 208 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Benoit Saint Denis enters the Octagon with Kyle Prepolec. Saint Denis holds a mark of 13-3-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 73". Prepolec stands 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-8-0. The 35-year-old extends his reach 70". In terms of takedowns, Benoit Saint Denis is averaging a takedown 3.97 times per 3 rds and Kyle Prepolec scores a takedown 0.70 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Saint Denis is connecting on 5.17 strikes/min and is landing 53% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Kyle Prepolec, who is landing 34% of the strikes that he throws and lands an average of 3.20 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Charles Radtke is set to square up with Mike Malott. Malott looks to add a victory to his total of 11-2-1. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Radtke measures 5'9" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 10-4-0. The 34-year-old stretches 72". Concerning wrestling, Mike Malott defends against 16% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 56% of the times he tries. Radtke is taking his opponents down on 12% of his attempts and deflects 85% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Malott is taking 3.06 strikes per minute and he deals 3.85 strikes/minute. Radtke, on the contrary, is taking 3.03 strikes per minute and lands 3.38 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Aiemann Zahabi (+180)

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