Julianna Pena vs Kayla Harrison Pick, 06/07/2025 Predictions UFC 316 Odds

Julianna Pena vs Kayla Harrison

UFC 316

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, June 7, 2025

Julianna Pena will battle Kayla Harrison at UFC 316 on Saturday, June 7, 2025. The moneyline has Pena coming in at +470 while Harrison is at -650.

Julianna "The Venezuelan Vixen" Pena steps into the Octagon with a mark of 13-5-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Kayla Harrison comes in at 5'8" and weighs 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to her career total of 18-1-0. The 34-year-old extends her reach 66". When talking about significant strikes, Julianna Pena connects on 3.25 per min while Kayla Harrison connects on 4.87 significant strikes per minute. Pena connects on 44% of the significant strikes she attempts and Harrison is landing 64%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Venezuelan Vixen" absorbs 2.53 significant strikes per min while Harrison absorbs 1.19. Pena also curbs 57% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Harrison is able to stop 64% of the strikes thrown her way.

Regarding takedowns, Julianna Pena is the lesser skilled grappler as she is able to score a takedown 1.81 times per 3 rds. Pena is scoring a takedown on 56% of her tries and is stopping 23% of all takedown attempts. Harrison is getting her opponent to the mat on 30% of the takedowns she tries and is stopping 85% of the attempts against her. In terms of going for the sub, Pena is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 0.8 subs per 3 rounds while Harrison goes for 0.7 subs per 15 minutes.

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In her previous bout, Julianna Pena went up against Raquel Pennington and took home the win by split decision in round 5. Pennington landed 112 of 345 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Pena walked away from this fight having landed 123 of 308 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Pennington landed 92 of 317 , giving her a percentage of 29%. She landed 57 of 277 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Pena ended up landing 35% of her significant strikes by sticking 92 of 260 . Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 82 of 248 pointed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Pennington and 97% of them connected on by Pena were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Kayla Harrison, she fought Ketlen Vieira and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Vieira ended up connecting on 87% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Harrison ended up landing 34% of her significant strikes at distance. Harrison ended up connecting on 58% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 55 of 94 . She landed 34 of 69 significant strikes directed at the head. Vieira ended up connecting on 24 of 61 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 12 of 38 aimed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Vieira connected on 67 of 108 and Harrison ended up landing 98 of 149 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Merab Dvalishvili battles Sean O'Malley. Dvalishvili walks into the Octagon with a record of 19-4-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". O'Malley stands 5'11" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 18-2-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old has a reach of 72". Concerning takedowns, Merab Dvalishvili takes his opponents to the canvas 5.89 times per 3 rounds while Sean O'Malley gets a takedown 0.29 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Dvalishvili lands 4.36 strikes/minute and connecting on 42% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Sean O'Malley, who connects on 61% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 6.70 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Joe Pyfer is set to square up in the Octagon against Kelvin Gastelum. Gastelum steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 20-9-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures 5'9". The southpaw fighter reaches 71". Pyfer stands in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 13-3-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In terms of grappling, Kelvin Gastelum thwarts 59% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 34% of his attempts. Pyfer is taking his opponents to the mat on 41% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 50% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Gastelum is absorbing 3.48 strikes per minute while he connects on 3.74 per minute. Pyfer, in contrast, is absorbing 3.48 strikes per min and lands 3.72 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Julianna Pena (+470)

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