Kurt Holobaugh vs Jordan Leavitt Pick, 05/31/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 107 Odds

Kurt Holobaugh vs Jordan Leavitt

UFC Vegas 107

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 31, 2025

Kurt Holobaugh will enter the Octagon with Jordan Leavitt at UFC Vegas 107 on Saturday, May 31, 2025. The opening line has Holobaugh at +160 while Leavitt is at -192.

Kurt "The Hurt" Holobaugh walks into the Octagon with a record of 22-9-0 (1 NC). The 38-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Jordan "The Monkey King" Leavitt stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 11-3-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Kurt Holobaugh lands 4.65 per minute and Jordan Leavitt is connecting on 2.55 significant strikes per minute. Holobaugh lands 45% of the significant strikes he attempts and Leavitt lands 61%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Hurt" takes 4.30 significant strikes per min while "The Monkey King" allows 1.84. Holobaugh also stops 49% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Leavitt is able to stop 57% of the shots thrown.

In terms of wrestling, Kurt Holobaugh is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.66 times per 3 rounds. Holobaugh is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his attempts and is stuffing 39% of all takedown attempts. Leavitt is finishing his takedown attempts on 25% of his takedown attempts and defending 30% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Holobaugh is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes while Leavitt tries 1.1 finishes per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Kurt Holobaugh went up against Alexander Hernandez and ended up taking the loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Hernandez ended up landing 87 of 186 total strikes attempted in that contest. Holobaugh finished this fight landing 106 of 215 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Hernandez landed 59 of 149, giving him a percentage of 39%. He landed 36 of 117 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Holobaugh landed 41% of his significant strikes by connecting on 71 of 171. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 39 of 122 aimed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes connected on by Hernandez and 88% of them landed by Holobaugh were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Jordan Leavitt, he battled Chase Hooper and was defeated via rear naked choke in round 1. Hooper landed 0% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Leavitt landed 0% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Leavitt connected on 75% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 3 of 4. He connected on 2 of 3 significant strikes to the head. Hooper landed 1 of 3 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 1 of 3 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Hooper ended up connecting on 13 of 18 while Leavitt connected on 5 of 10 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when MarQuel Mederos takes on Bolaji Oki. Mederos steps into the cage with a record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Oki stands in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 73". In the grappling category, MarQuel Mederos gets a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min and Bolaji Oki takes his opponents to the canvas 2.11 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Mederos lands an average of 3.75 strikes/min and connecting on 50% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Bolaji Oki, who tags the opposition on 45% of his attempted strikes and connects on 5.63 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Maycee Barber is set to battle Erin Blanchfield. Blanchfield holds a record of 13-2-0. The 26-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 66". Barber measures 5'5" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to her record of 14-2-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 65". Concerning wrestling, Erin Blanchfield is able to thwart 80% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 31% of her tries. Barber is taking her opponents to the mat on 43% of the attempts she tries and is able to deflect 53% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Blanchfield absorbs 4.21 strikes per minute while she is dealing 5.24 strikes per min. Barber, at the same time, is taking 2.90 strikes/min and lands 4.70 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kurt Holobaugh (+160)

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