Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates Pick, 11/15/2025 Predictions UFC 322 Odds
Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates
UFC 322
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 15, 2025
Leon Edwards will face off with Carlos Prates at UFC 322 on Saturday, November 15, 2025. The line has Edwards priced at +165 while Prates is coming in at -195.
Leon "Rocky" Edwards will be looking to add a victory to his total of 22-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Carlos "The Nightmare" Prates measures 6'1" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 22-7-0. The 32-year-old stretches 78". In terms of significant strikes, Leon Edwards is landing 2.62 per minute while Carlos Prates connects on 3.82 significant strikes per min. Edwards is landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempts and Prates is landing 54%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Rocky" allows 2.42 significant strikes per min while "The Nightmare" takes 4.80. Edwards also stops 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Prates is able to stop 48% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC 322 | Leon Edwards | Carlos Prates |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +165 | -195 |
| Record | 22-5-0 (1 NC) | 22-7-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 17:19 | 9:08 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'1" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 78" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.62 | 3.82 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 54% |
When it comes to grappling, Leon Edwards is the more apt wrestler as he scores a takedown 1.18 times per 3 rds. Edwards is taking his opponents to the canvas on 36% of his tries and is stopping 63% of all takedowns attempted on him. Prates is taking his opponents down on 85% of his takedown tries and stopping 84% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing opponents, Edwards is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds while Prates goes for 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In his last bout, Leon Edwards fought Sean Brady and walked away with a loss via guillotine choke in round 4. Brady ended up landing 221 of 295 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Edwards ended the night having landed 23 of 35 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Brady ended up landing 57 of 93, which means his percentage was 61%. He ended up landing 44 of 76 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Edwards ended up landing 65% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 23 of 35. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 10 of 21 aimed at the head. 33% of the significant strikes connected on by Brady and 47% of them landed by Edwards were done at distance.
In the last fight for Carlos Prates, he fought Geoff Neal and ended up winning this fight via a spinning back elbow to the head in round 1. Neal connected on 92% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Prates connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Prates connected on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 32 of 60. He landed 17 of 45 significant strikes to the head. Neal ended up landing 25 of 49 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 16 of 38 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Neal landed 26 of 50 and Prates landed 32 of 60 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Beneil Dariush faces off against Benoit Saint Denis. Dariush has a career record of 23-6-1. The 36-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 72". Saint Denis stands in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 15-3-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In terms of takedowns, Beneil Dariush takes his opponents to the mat 2.12 times per 15 min while Benoit Saint Denis gets a takedown 4.35 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Dariush lands an average of 3.78 strikes per minute and landing 49% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Benoit Saint Denis, who is landing 55% of the strikes he has tried and lands 5.05 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Rodolfo Vieira is set to face off with Bo Nickal. Nickal steps into the cage with a record of 7-1-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 76". Vieira measures 6'0" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 11-3-0. The 36-year-old reaches 73". Regarding wrestling, Bo Nickal is able to thwart 85% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 53% of his attempts. Vieira is finishing his takedown tries on 23% of his attempts and is able to defend against 85% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Nickal is taking 2.11 strikes per min while he is connecting on 2.36 per minute. Vieira, notwithstanding, absorbs 4.12 strikes per minute and lands 3.77 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Leon Edwards (+165)
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