Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara Pick, 09/27/2025 Predictions UFC Perth Odds

Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara

UFC Perth

RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia

Saturday, September 27, 2025

Loma Lookboonmee will face off with Alexia Thainara at UFC Perth on Saturday, September 27, 2025. The opening line has Lookboonmee at +195 while Thainara is at -230.

Loma Lookboonmee steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-3-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 61". Alexia "Burguesinha" Thainara stands in at 5'4" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 12-1-0. The 29-year-old reaches 67". Concerning significant strikes, Loma Lookboonmee connects on 3.87 per minute while Alexia Thainara connects on 5.73 significant strikes per minute. Lookboonmee is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes she attempts and Thainara lands 40%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Lookboonmee absorbs 2.47 significant strikes per minute while "Burguesinha" absorbs 2.82. Lookboonmee also defends against 52% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Thainara is able to thwart 70% of the strikes thrown her way.

Concerning takedowns, Loma Lookboonmee is not as effective of a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 2.03 times per 3 rds. Lookboonmee is finishing her takedown attempts on 51% of her tries and stuffing 73% of all takedown attempts. Thainara is getting her opponent to the mat on 85% of her takedown tries and thwarting 85% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Lookboonmee is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes while Thainara goes for 2.3 finishes per 3 rds.

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In her last fight, Loma Lookboonmee faced Istela Nunes and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Nunes ended up landing 51 of 82 total strikes attempted in that fight. Lookboonmee walked away from this fight having landed 111 of 170 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Nunes landed 36 of 62, which means her percentage was 58%. She finished the fight landing 7 of 26 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Lookboonmee ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 32 of 76. Out of those significant strikes, she landed 12 of 41 aimed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes landed by Nunes and 87% of them landed by Lookboonmee were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Alexia Thainara, she squared up with Molly McCann and wound up taking home the victory by rear naked choke in round 1. McCann connected on 44% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Thainara ended up connecting on 54% of her significant strikes at distance. Thainara ended up connecting on 52% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 11 of 21. She landed 7 of 13 significant strikes directed at the head. McCann ended up connecting on 9 of 21 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 6 of 17 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that she let go in that fight, McCann landed 14 of 28 and Thainara ended up landing 17 of 32 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Carlos Ulberg faces off against Dominick Reyes. Ulberg has a career record of 13-1-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Reyes stands 6'4" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 15-4-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In terms of takedowns, Carlos Ulberg takes his opponents to the canvas 0.58 times per 3 rounds while Dominick Reyes is able to score a takedown 0.31 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Ulberg tags his opponents 6.77 strikes per min and connecting on 55% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Dominick Reyes, who is connecting on 54% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 5.58 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Ivan Erslan is set to square up with Jimmy Crute. Crute holds a career mark of 13-4-2. The 29-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Erslan comes in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-5-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old stretches 72". Concerning grappling, Jimmy Crute is able to curb 58% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 52% of his tries. Erslan is finishing his takedowns on 20% of his tries and deflects 64% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Crute absorbs 3.68 strikes per minute and he is dealing 4.17 strikes/minute. Erslan, on the contrary, absorbs 5.17 strikes per minute and is connecting on 2.50 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Loma Lookboonmee (+195)

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