Luana Santos vs Tainara Lisboa Pick, 05/17/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 106 Odds
Luana Santos vs Tainara Lisboa
UFC Vegas 106
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, May 17, 2025
Luana Santos will face off with Tainara Lisboa at UFC Vegas 106 on Saturday, May 17, 2025. The opening line has Santos at -130 while Lisboa is priced at +110.
Luana Santos comes into this bout with a mark of 8-2-0. The 25-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". Tainara "Thai Panther" Lisboa comes in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 7-2-0. The 34-year-old stretches 67". Regarding significant strikes, Luana Santos connects on 4.28 per min and Tainara Lisboa connects on 2.05 significant strikes per min. Santos is connecting on 51% of the significant strikes she tries and Lisboa is landing 50%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Santos allows 4.15 significant strikes per min while "Thai Panther" absorbs 1.40. Santos also stops 61% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Lisboa prevents 54% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 106 | Luana Santos | Tainara Lisboa |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -130 | +110 |
| Record | 8-2-0 | 7-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:17 | 14:40 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 67" | 67" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.28 | 2.05 |
| Striking Accuracy | 51% | 50% |
In terms of wrestling, Luana Santos is the not as competent as a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.62 times per 15 min. Santos is finishing her takedown attempts on 40% of the times she tries and is stuffing 80% of the takedowns her opponents try. Lisboa is scoring a takedown on 40% of her takedown tries and defending 70% of the attempts against her. When it comes to subbing opponents, Santos is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 1.2 finishes per 3 rds while Lisboa goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 min.
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In her previous fight, Luana Santos went up against Casey O'Neill and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 3. O'Neill landed 113 of 227 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Santos walked away from this fight having landed 46 of 102 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, O'Neill ended up landing 83 of 193, which means her percentage was 43%. She finished the fight landing 60 of 163 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Santos landed 42% of her significant strikes by sticking 41 of 97. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 26 of 75 pointed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes landed by O'Neill and 100% of them connected on by Santos were thrown at distance.
In the last fight for Tainara Lisboa, she fought Ravena Oliveira and ended up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Oliveira landed 86% of her significant strikes at distance while Lisboa ended up landing 38% of her significant strikes at distance. Lisboa landed 51% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 18 of 35. She landed 9 of 24 significant strikes directed at the head. Oliveira connected on 15 of 31 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she ended up landing 10 of 23 directed at the head. Discussing the strikes she fired off in this contest, Oliveira landed 61 of 87 and Lisboa ended up landing 77 of 106 of all the strikes she attempted.
Other bouts on the card to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Elise Reed takes on Denise Gomes. Reed comes into this bout holding a record of 8-4-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Gomes stands 5'2" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 10-3-0. The 25-year-old extends her reach 63". When it comes to grappling, Elise Reed is able to score a takedown 0.49 times per 3 rounds and Denise Gomes takes her opponents to the canvas 0.72 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Reed lands an average of 3.50 strikes/minute and connecting on 53% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Denise Gomes, who is landing 50% of the strikes she attempts and connects for an average of 4.55 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Luana Pinheiro is set to square up against Tecia Pennington. Pennington will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 14-7-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 60". Pinheiro measures 5'2" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 11-4-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 62". Concerning grappling, Tecia Pennington is able to deflect 63% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 14% of the times she tries. Pinheiro is taking her opponents to the mat on 33% of the attempts she tries and curbs 69% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Pennington absorbs 3.53 strikes per minute while she is landing 4.82 per minute. Pinheiro, on the other side, absorbs 4.03 strikes/min and connects on 3.42 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Luana Santos (-130)
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