Macy Chiasson vs Yana Santos Pick, 10/04/2025 Predictions UFC 320 Odds

Macy Chiasson vs Yana Santos

UFC 320

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 4, 2025

Macy Chiasson will enter the Octagon with Yana Santos at UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The moneyline has Chiasson coming in at -180 while Santos is coming in at +155.

Macy Chiasson will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 11-4-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Yana Santos stands in at 5'6" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 16-8-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old reaches 68". When talking about significant strikes, Macy Chiasson is connecting on 3.49 per minute while Yana Santos lands 4.42 significant strikes per minute. Chiasson is landing 46% of the significant strikes she attempts and Santos lands 58%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Chiasson absorbs 2.68 significant strikes per min and Santos allows 3.07. Chiasson also defends 45% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Santos is able to curb 52% of the shots thrown in her direction.

In terms of takedowns, Macy Chiasson is the more apt wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 2.08 times per 15 minutes. Chiasson is scoring a takedown on 35% of her tries and is defending 71% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Santos is scoring a takedown on 50% of her takedown tries and defending 53% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Chiasson is the more capable fighter by trying 0.4 subs per 15 minutes while Santos tries 0.1 subs per 3 rounds.

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In her previous bout, Macy Chiasson squared up with Ketlen Vieira and walked away with a loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Vieira landed 106 of 174 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Chiasson walked away from this fight having landed 52 of 77 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Vieira ended up landing 28 of 64, giving her a percentage of 43%. She ended up landing 25 of 60 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Chiasson ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 22 of 43. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 8 of 25 aimed at the head. 53% of the significant strikes landed by Vieira and 90% of them landed by Chiasson were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Yana Santos, she faced off with Miesha Tate and ended up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Tate connected on 72% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Santos landed 71% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Santos ended up landing 56% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 66 of 117. She connected on 37 of 87 significant strikes directed at the head. Tate ended up connecting on 40 of 115 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, she connected on 25 of 88 to the head. In relation to the strikes she fired off in this contest, Tate ended up landing 108 of 204 and Santos ended up landing 87 of 143 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Veronica Hardy goes up against Brogan Walker. Hardy steps into the cage with a record of 9-5-1. The 29-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 64". Walker stands in at 5'4" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to her record of 7-4-0. The 37-year-old stretches 67". In terms of takedowns, Veronica Hardy is able to score a takedown 0.93 times per 15 minutes while Brogan Walker is able to score a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Hardy is connecting on 3.12 strikes/minute and connecting on 45% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Brogan Walker, who connects on 30% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 2.04 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Alex Pereira is set to take on Magomed Ankalaev. Ankalaev walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-1-1 (1 NC). The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Pereira comes in at 6'4" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 12-3-0. The 38-year-old reaches 79". In terms of wrestling, Magomed Ankalaev is able to defend against 87% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 22% of his tries. Pereira is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his tries and is able to deflect 78% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Ankalaev is taking 2.46 strikes per minute while he is dealing 3.66 strikes per minute. Pereira, on the other side, is taking 3.50 strikes per minute and lands 5.00 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Macy Chiasson (-180)

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