Magomed Ankalaev vs Alex Pereira Pick, 10/04/2025 Predictions UFC 320 Odds
Magomed Ankalaev vs Alex Pereira
UFC 320
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 4, 2025
Magomed Ankalaev will face off against Alex Pereira at UFC 320 on Saturday, October 4, 2025. The opening line has Ankalaev priced at -260 while Pereira is coming in at +220.
Magomed Ankalaev walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-1-1 (1 NC). The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Alex "Poatan" Pereira comes in at 6'4" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 12-3-0. The 38-year-old reaches 79". Concerning significant strikes, Magomed Ankalaev lands 3.66 per min and Alex Pereira is landing 5.00 significant strikes per minute. Ankalaev is landing 52% of the significant strikes he attempts and Pereira is connecting on 62%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Ankalaev absorbs 2.46 significant strikes per min while "Poatan" allows 3.50. Ankalaev also stops 57% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Pereira is able to thwart 53% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC 320 | Magomed Ankalaev | Alex Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -260 | +220 |
| Record | 21-1-1 (1 NC) | 12-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:31 | 11:57 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'4" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 79" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.66 | 5.00 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 62% |
When it comes to wrestling, Magomed Ankalaev is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.80 times per 15 min. Ankalaev is scoring a takedown on 22% of the times he tries and stopping 87% of all takedowns attempted on him. Pereira is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 78% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Ankalaev is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.8 finishes per 15 min while Pereira attempts 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds.
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In his last fight, Magomed Ankalaev squared up with Alex Pereira and ended up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 5. Pereira ended up landing 97 of 159 total strikes attempted in that fight. Ankalaev walked away from this fight having landed 127 of 224 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Pereira ended up landing 76 of 137, which gave him a rate of 55%. He finished the fight landing 11 of 57 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Ankalaev ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 94 of 180. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 36 of 112 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Pereira and 79% of them connected on by Ankalaev were done at a distance.
In the last bout for Alex Pereira, he battled Magomed Ankalaev and wound up taking the loss via unanimous decision in round 5. Ankalaev ended up landing 79% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Pereira connected on 90% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Pereira ended up connecting on 55% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 76 of 137. He connected on 11 of 57 significant strikes to the head. Ankalaev connected on 94 of 180 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 36 of 112 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Ankalaev ended up connecting on 127 of 224 while Pereira was 97 of 159 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch out for
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Merab Dvalishvili fights Cory Sandhagen. Dvalishvili steps into the Octagon holding a record of 20-4-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Sandhagen comes in at 5'11" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 18-5-0. The 33-year-old reaches 70". In the grappling category, Merab Dvalishvili gets a takedown 5.84 times per 15 minutes and Cory Sandhagen takes his opponents to the canvas 1.28 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Dvalishvili connects for an average of 4.31 strikes/minute and is connecting on 42% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Cory Sandhagen, who is connecting on 45% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 5.06 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Khalil Rountree Jr. is set to go up against Jiri Prochazka. Prochazka walks into the Octagon with a record of 31-5-1. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Rountree Jr. measures in at 6'1" and weighs 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 14-6-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has a reach of 76". Concerning grappling, Jiri Prochazka is thwarting 68% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 60% of the times he tries. Rountree Jr. is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his tries and stops 58% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Prochazka absorbs 5.70 strikes/min while he dishes out 5.74 per minute. Rountree Jr., on the contrary, takes 4.24 strikes per minute and deals 3.79 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Magomed Ankalaev (-260)
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