Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli
UFC 323
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Mansur Abdul-Malik will enter the Octagon against Antonio Trocoli at UFC 323 on Saturday, December 6, 2025. The opening odds have Abdul-Malik priced at -1000 while Trocoli is coming in at +700.
Mansur Abdul-Malik Abdul-Malik comes into this fight with a record of 8-0-1. The 28-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 80". Antonio "Malvado" Trocoli stands 6'6" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 12-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stretches 79". In terms of significant strikes, Mansur Abdul-Malik connects on 4.27 per minute and Antonio Trocoli is connecting on 1.29 significant strikes per min. Abdul-Malik is landing 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Trocoli connects on 50%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Abdul-Malik absorbs 3.49 significant strikes per minute while "Malvado" absorbs 5.79. Abdul-Malik also deflects 51% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Trocoli is able to defend against 23% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC 323 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | Antonio Trocoli |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -1000 | +700 |
| Record | 8-0-1 | 12-5-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 7:40 | 5:56 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'6" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 80" | 79" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.27 | 1.29 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 50% |
When it comes to grappling, Mansur Abdul-Malik is not as efficient of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.49 times per 15 minutes. Abdul-Malik is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of his tries and thwarting 82% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Trocoli is scoring a takedown on 11% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 50% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Abdul-Malik is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Trocoli tries 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!
DOC’S SPORTS UFC is coming off a no doubt 8-unit winner last time out (play cashed in the first round). Saturday will feature a 6-unit underdog totals play you do not want to miss (10 p.m.). It comes from UFC Fight Night 260 and you can watch it live on ESPN+. Sign-up now with a daily picks package from UFC/MMA/Boxing. You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!
|
Get all of our Free UFC Picks
In his last fight, Mansur Abdul-Malik fought Cody Brundage and ended up in a draw by way of a technical decision in round 3. Brundage landed 30 of 67 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Abdul-Malik finished this fight landing 25 of 73 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Brundage landed 30 of 67 , which gave him a percentage of 44%. He finished the fight landing 18 of 49 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Abdul-Malik ended up landing 34% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 25 of 73 . In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 17 of 55 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Brundage and 72% of them connected on by Abdul-Malik were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Antonio Trocoli, he battled Tresean Gore and ended up walking away in defeat via a guillotine choke in round 1. Gore landed 33% of his significant strikes at distance and Trocoli ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Trocoli landed 40% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 2 of 5 . He connected on 0 of 2 significant strikes aimed at the head. Gore ended up landing 3 of 3 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 0 of 0 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Gore was 5 of 5 while Trocoli was 2 of 5 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Muhammad Naimov enters the Octagon with Mairon Santos. Naimov will be looking to add a win to his record of 13-3-0. The 31-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Santos comes in at 5'7" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 17-1-0. The 25-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of takedowns, Muhammad Naimov is averaging a takedown 1.69 times per 3 rds and Mairon Santos is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Naimov is landing 2.61 strikes/min and lands 40% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Mairon Santos, who is landing 46% of the strikes that he throws and lands 3.53 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Karine Silva is set to encounter Maycee Barber. Barber steps into the cage with a mark of 14-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The switch fighter extends her reach 65". Silva measures 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 19-5-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 67". Concerning grappling, Maycee Barber is able to curb 53% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 43% of the times she tries. Silva is taking her opponents to the mat on 47% of her tries and is able to defend against 11% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Barber is absorbing 2.90 strikes per min while she is landing 4.70 per minute. Silva, at the same time, is absorbing 2.89 strikes/min and is dishing out 2.73 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Antonio Trocoli (+700)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Iwo Baraniewski vs Ibo Aslan Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Grant Dawson vs Manuel Torres Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Edson Barboza vs Jalin Turner Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Muhammad Naimov vs Mairon Santos Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Maycee Barber vs Karine Silva Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds