Marvin Vettori vs Brunno Ferreira Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
Marvin Vettori vs Brunno Ferreira
UFC 323
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Marvin Vettori will take on Brunno Ferreira at UFC 323 on Saturday, December 6, 2025. The opening odds have Vettori coming in at -116 while Ferreira is coming in at -104.
Marvin "The Italian Dream" Vettori walks into the Octagon with a mark of 19-9-1. The 32-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 74". Brunno "The Hulk" Ferreira comes in at 5'10" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 14-2-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". When talking about significant strikes, Marvin Vettori lands 4.68 per minute and Brunno Ferreira connects on 3.41 significant strikes per min. Vettori connects on 45% of the significant strikes he throws while Ferreira lands 50%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "The Italian Dream" absorbs 4.52 significant strikes per min and "The Hulk" takes 3.34. Vettori also deflects 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Ferreira is able to deflect 51% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC 323 | Marvin Vettori | Brunno Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -116 | -104 |
| Record | 19-9-1 | 14-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 17:17 | 5:23 |
| Height | 6'0" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.68 | 3.41 |
| Striking Accuracy | 45% | 50% |
In the category of takedowns, Marvin Vettori is the more apt grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.43 times per 15 minutes. Vettori is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of the times he tries and defending 65% of the takedowns his opponents try. Ferreira is scoring a takedown on 28% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 57% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submissions, Vettori is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.4 subs per 3 rds while Ferreira attempts 1.0 submission per 15 min.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!
DOC’S SPORTS UFC is coming off a no doubt 8-unit winner last time out (play cashed in the first round). Saturday will feature a 6-unit underdog totals play you do not want to miss (10 p.m.). It comes from UFC Fight Night 260 and you can watch it live on ESPN+. Sign-up now with a daily picks package from UFC/MMA/Boxing. You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!
|
Get all of our UFC Expert Picks
In his last appearance in the Octagon, Marvin Vettori squared up with Brendan Allen and took a loss on the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Allen landed 119 of 233 total strikes that he let go. Vettori ended the night having landed 115 of 262 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Allen ended up landing 111 of 224 , which means his percentage was 49%. He finished the fight landing 86 of 194 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Vettori landed 43% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 109 of 253 . In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 98 of 239 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Allen and 90% of them connected on by Vettori were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Brunno Ferreira, he squared up with Jackson McVey and ended up getting the victory via an armbar from the mount position in round 1. McVey ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Ferreira ended up landing 85% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Ferreira ended up connecting on 77% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 7 of 9 . He connected on 4 of 5 significant strikes directed at the head. McVey connected on 4 of 15 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 3 of 13 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, McVey was 4 of 15 while Ferreira ended up landing 9 of 11 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Edson Barboza squares up in the Octagon against Jalin Turner. Barboza comes into this bout holding a record of 24-13-0. The 39-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Turner stands 6'3" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 14-9-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In the grappling category, Edson Barboza takes his opponents down 0.43 times per 3 rounds and Jalin Turner takes his opponents down 0.77 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Barboza lands 4.14 strikes/min and is landing 44% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Jalin Turner, who lands 48% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 5.53 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when Ibo Aslan is set to enter the Octagon with Iwo Baraniewski. Baraniewski comes into this bout holding a record of 6-0-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Aslan stands in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 14-3-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In terms of wrestling, Iwo Baraniewski is able to curb 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts. Aslan is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the attempts he tries and stops 86% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Baraniewski absorbs 6.00 strikes per minute while he connects on 12.00 strikes/min. Aslan, in contrast, absorbs 3.47 strikes per min and deals 5.09 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Marvin Vettori (-116)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Muhammad Naimov vs Mairon Santos Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Edson Barboza vs Jalin Turner Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Iwo Baraniewski vs Ibo Aslan Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Maycee Barber vs Karine Silva Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
- Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds