Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos Pick, 12/13/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 112 Odds
Melissa Croden vs Luana Santos
UFC Vegas 112
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 13, 2025
Melissa Croden will face off against Luana Santos at UFC Vegas 112 on Saturday, December 13, 2025. The opening moneyline has Croden at +106 while Santos is coming in at -126.
Melissa "Scare" Croden will be looking to add a victory to her record of 7-2-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Luana Santos stands 5'6" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 9-2-0. The 25-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding significant strikes, Melissa Croden connects on 6.81 per min while Luana Santos is connecting on 3.69 significant strikes per min. Croden lands 56% of the significant strikes she attempts while Santos is connecting on 52%. Regarding defense, "Scare" takes 2.89 significant strikes per minute while Santos takes 3.40. Croden also stops 54% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Santos is able to thwart 62% of the shots thrown in her direction.
| UFC Vegas 112 | Melissa Croden | Luana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +106 | -126 |
| Record | 7-2-0 | 9-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 14:32 | 9:25 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 67" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.81 | 3.69 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 52% |
Concerning takedowns, Melissa Croden is the better wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.06 times per 15 min. Croden is scoring a takedown on 66% of her tries and is stuffing 75% of the takedowns her opponents try. Santos is taking her opponents to the canvas on 50% of her takedown tries and is stopping 83% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Croden is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds while Santos tries 1.3 submissions per 3 rounds.
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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Melissa Croden went up against Tainara Lisboa and ended up getting the victory via punches to the head in round 3. Lisboa landed 63 of 115 total strikes attempted in that contest. Croden finished this fight landing 148 of 230 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Lisboa ended up landing 42 of 92, which means her percentage was 45%. She landed 23 of 70 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Croden landed 56% of her significant strikes by sticking 99 of 175. Of those significant strikes, she landed 74 of 141 pointed at the head. 54% of the significant strikes connected on by Lisboa and 57% of them connected on by Croden were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Luana Santos, she squared up with Tainara Lisboa and ended up getting the victory in the fight by a keylock from the mount position in round 2. Lisboa landed 100% of her significant strikes at distance while Santos ended up connecting on 80% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Santos connected on 78% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 15 of 19. She ended up connecting on 11 of 15 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lisboa ended up connecting on 6 of 34 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she landed 3 of 27 to the head. Discussing the strikes she fired off in this contest, Lisboa connected on 7 of 35 and Santos was 50 of 57 of the strikes she threw in total.
Other bouts on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Jamey-Lyn Horth faces off with Tereza Bleda. Horth looks to add a win to her career total of 8-2-0. The 35-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Bleda comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her career record of 7-1-0. The 24-year-old extends her reach 71". When it comes to grappling, Jamey-Lyn Horth takes her opponents to the mat 1.20 times per 15 minutes and Tereza Bleda takes her opponents to the canvas 1.81 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Horth connects on 3.52 strikes/min and connects on 54% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Tereza Bleda, who is landing 53% of the strikes she has attempted and lands an average of 3.02 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Manel Kape is set to square up in the Octagon against Brandon Royval. Royval walks into the cage with a record of 17-8-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 68". Kape stands in at 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 21-7-0. The 32-year-old stretches 68". In the category of takedowns, Brandon Royval is able to thwart 45% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 75% of his tries. Kape is finishing his takedowns on 30% of his attempts and is able to thwart 81% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Royval is taking 4.23 strikes per min while he is connecting on 5.55 strikes/minute. Kape, notwithstanding, is absorbing 4.05 strikes/minute and is landing 5.04 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Luana Santos (-126)
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