Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere Pick, 12/13/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 112 Odds
Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere
UFC Vegas 112
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 13, 2025
Melquizael Costa will battle Morgan Charriere at UFC Vegas 112 on Saturday, December 13, 2025. The opening line has Costa at -110 while Charriere is at -110.
Melquizael "The Dalmatian" Costa steps into the Octagon with a record of 24-7-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". Morgan "The Last Pirate" Charriere stands in at 5'8" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 21-11-1. The 30-year-old reaches 69". With respect to significant strikes, Melquizael Costa is landing 4.44 per min while Morgan Charriere is connecting on 4.08 significant strikes per minute. Costa lands 49% of the significant strikes he throws while Charriere is connecting on 50%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Dalmatian" takes 3.09 significant strikes per min while "The Last Pirate" absorbs 4.54. Costa also curbs 54% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Charriere is able to curb 53% of them.
| UFC Vegas 112 | Melquizael Costa | Morgan Charriere |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -110 | -110 |
| Record | 24-7-0 | 21-11-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:55 | 9:57 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.44 | 4.08 |
| Striking Accuracy | 49% | 50% |
In terms of wrestling, Melquizael Costa is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.96 times per 3 rounds. Costa is getting his opponent to the mat on 38% of the times he tries and thwarting 58% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Charriere is getting his opponent to the mat on 46% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 83% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing opponents, Costa is the more able fighter by trying 1.2 submissions per 3 rds while Charriere looks to get 0.3 submissions per 15 min.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Melquizael Costa faced Julian Erosa and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Erosa landed 85 of 202 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Costa finished this fight landing 128 of 236 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Erosa landed 69 of 173, which means his percentage was 39%. He ended up landing 42 of 140 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Costa landed 50% of his significant strikes by landing 102 of 204. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 67 of 160 to the head. 79% of the significant strikes connected on by Erosa and 97% of them connected on by Costa were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Morgan Charriere, he faced off with Nate Landwehr and got a win for the night by a punch to the head in round 3. Landwehr landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Charriere connected on 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Charriere connected on 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 67 of 131. He ended up connecting on 41 of 100 significant strikes directed at the head. Landwehr ended up connecting on 63 of 155 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 54 of 142 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Landwehr connected on 65 of 158 while Charriere ended up connecting on 67 of 131 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Sean Sharaf goes up against Steven Asplund. Sharaf steps into the cage holding a record of 4-1-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 252 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Asplund measures in at 6'5" and records a weight of 261 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 6-1-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 78". In the grappling category, Sean Sharaf gets his opposition to the mat 2.07 times per 15 minutes while Steven Asplund is averaging a takedown 0.90 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Sharaf tags his opponents 7.31 strikes per minute and lands 44% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Steven Asplund, who connects on 64% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 41.25 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Gillian Robertson is set to battle Amanda Lemos. Lemos will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 15-5-1. The 38-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter stretches 65". Robertson comes in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-8-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 63". Concerning wrestling, Amanda Lemos is able to stop 64% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 62% of her tries. Robertson is taking her opponents down on 40% of the tries she takes and prevents 41% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Lemos absorbs 3.24 strikes/minute while she is dealing 2.75 strikes per minute. Robertson, notwithstanding, is taking 2.86 strikes/minute and deals 2.86 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Morgan Charriere (-110)
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