Modestas Bukauskas vs Ion Cutelaba Pick, 05/10/2025 Predictions UFC 315 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/7/2025

Modestas Bukauskas vs Ion Cutelaba

UFC 315

Bell Centre in Montreal

Saturday, May 10, 2025

Modestas Bukauskas will take on Ion Cutelaba at UFC 315 on Saturday, May 10, 2025. The odds have Bukauskas coming in at -108 while Cutelaba is coming in at -112.

Modestas "The Baltic Gladiator" Bukauskas comes into this bout with a record of 17-6-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and measures 6'3". The switch fighter extends his reach 78". Ion "The Hulk" Cutelaba measures in at 6'1" and will fight at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 19-10-1 (1 NC). The 31-year-old reaches 75". Regarding significant strikes, Modestas Bukauskas is landing 3.32 per minute and Ion Cutelaba is landing 4.30 significant strikes per minute. Bukauskas is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempts while Cutelaba lands 43%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Baltic Gladiator" takes 4.11 significant strikes per minute and "The Hulk" allows 3.38. Bukauskas also stops 50% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Cutelaba defends against 46% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Modestas Bukauskas ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 315	Modestas Bukauskas	Ion Cutelaba
Opening Odds	-108	-112
Record	17-6-0	19-10-1 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	9:00	7:48
Height	6'3"	6'1"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	78"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.32	4.30
Striking Accuracy	42%	43%

In the category of takedowns, Modestas Bukauskas is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.37 times per 15 minutes. Bukauskas is taking his opponents to the canvas on 66% of his attempts and defending 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Cutelaba is finishing his takedown attempts on 52% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 75% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Bukauskas is the more apt fighter by going for 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Cutelaba tries 0.1 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last bout, Modestas Bukauskas fought Rafael Cerqueira and ended up getting the victory in the fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Cerqueira landed 9 of 22 total strikes attempted in that fight. Bukauskas finished this fight landing 16 of 41 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Cerqueira ended up landing 9 of 22, which gave him a percentage of 40%. He finished the fight landing 4 of 16 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Bukauskas landed 39% of his significant strikes by connecting on 16 of 41. Of those significant strikes, he was 11 of 36 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Cerqueira and 100% of them connected on by Bukauskas were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Ion Cutelaba, he faced off with Ibo Aslan and wound up taking home the victory by way of an arm triangle in round 1. Aslan connected on 80% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Cutelaba ended up connecting on 71% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Cutelaba connected on 45% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 14 of 31. He ended up landing 10 of 26 significant strikes aimed at the head. Aslan ended up connecting on 15 of 30 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 14 of 28 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Aslan connected on 15 of 30 and Cutelaba landed 17 of 39 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Navajo Stirling faces off against Ivan Erslan. Stirling looks to add a win to his career record of 6-0-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Erslan comes in at 6'2" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 14-4-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old stretches 72". Regarding grappling, Navajo Stirling is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rounds while Ivan Erslan scores a takedown 1.00 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Stirling lands 5.82 strikes per min and landing 56% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Ivan Erslan, who connects on 56% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 2.60 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Bruno Silva is set to face off against Marc-Andre Barriault. Barriault walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-9-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Silva stands in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 23-12-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding wrestling, Marc-Andre Barriault is able to defend against 67% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of his attempts. Silva is taking his opponents down on 23% of the attempts he tries and prevents 74% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Barriault is taking 5.58 strikes/min and he dishes out 5.98 per minute. Silva, in contrast, takes 5.28 strikes/minute and is landing 3.85 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Modestas Bukauskas (-108)

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Modestas Bukauskas vs Ion Cutelaba Pick, 05/10/2025 Predictions UFC 315 Odds

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