Pat Sabatini vs Chepe Mariscal Pick, 11/15/2025 Predictions UFC 322 Odds
Pat Sabatini vs Chepe Mariscal
UFC 322
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 15, 2025
Pat Sabatini will take on Chepe Mariscal at UFC 322 on Saturday, November 15, 2025. The odds have Sabatini at -135 while Mariscal is priced at +115.
Pat Sabatini has a record of 20-5-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Chepe "Machine Gun" Mariscal stands 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 18-6-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of significant strikes, Pat Sabatini connects on 1.87 per min and Chepe Mariscal lands 4.95 significant strikes per minute. Sabatini is connecting on 62% of the significant strikes he tries and Mariscal is landing 56%. Regarding defending in the cage, Sabatini takes 1.22 significant strikes per minute while "Machine Gun" absorbs 3.07. Sabatini also thwarts 49% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Mariscal prevents 51% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC 322 | Pat Sabatini | Chepe Mariscal |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -135 | +115 |
| Record | 20-5-0 | 18-6-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 8:23 | 13:40 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 70" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 1.87 | 4.95 |
| Striking Accuracy | 62% | 56% |
In terms of grappling, Pat Sabatini is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.98 times per 3 rds. Sabatini is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of the times he tries and is defending 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. Mariscal is taking his opponents to the canvas on 39% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 73% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submissions, Sabatini is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 1.8 finishes per 15 min while Mariscal looks to get 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Pat Sabatini went up against Joanderson Brito and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Brito landed 27 of 46 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Sabatini walked away from this fight having landed 135 of 158 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Brito ended up landing 3 of 9, giving him a percentage of 33%. He finished the fight landing 2 of 6 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Sabatini landed 77% of his significant strikes by connecting on 24 of 31. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 22 of 28 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Brito and 8% of them connected on by Sabatini were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Chepe Mariscal, he went up against Ricardo Ramos and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Ramos connected on 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Mariscal connected on 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Mariscal ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 85 of 162. He connected on 59 of 122 significant strikes to the head. Ramos landed 37 of 91 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 17 of 63 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Ramos ended up landing 37 of 91 and Mariscal ended up landing 125 of 210 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Baisangur Susurkaev squares up against Eric McConico. Susurkaev walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-0-0. The 24-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". McConico comes in at 6'0" and will fight at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 10-3-1. The 35-year-old stretches 77". When it comes to grappling, Baisangur Susurkaev is averaging a takedown 2.98 times per 3 rds and Eric McConico is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Susurkaev connects for an average of 4.56 strikes per min and lands 58% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Eric McConico, who is connecting on 36% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 1.51 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Zhang Weili is set to clash with Valentina Shevchenko. Shevchenko steps into the cage holding a record of 25-4-1. The 37-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter extends her reach 66". Weili measures in at 5'4" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a record of 26-3-0. The 36-year-old reaches 63". In the category of takedowns, Valentina Shevchenko is able to curb 75% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 60% of the times she tries. Weili is taking her opponents down on 45% of her tries and stops 74% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Shevchenko absorbs 2.06 strikes per min and she is dealing 3.14 strikes/minute. Weili, on the other side, is taking 2.77 strikes per minute and lands 5.15 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pat Sabatini (-135)
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