Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes Pick, 08/02/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 108 Odds
Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes
UFC Vegas 108
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, August 2, 2025
Rafael Estevam will enter the Octagon against Felipe Bunes at UFC Vegas 108 on Saturday, August 2, 2025. The opening moneyline has Estevam coming in at -460 while Bunes is coming in at +360.
Rafael "Macapa" Estevam looks to add a victory to his career record of 13-0-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Felipe "Felipinho" Bunes stands 5'7" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 14-7-0. The 35-year-old reaches 69". In the category of significant strikes, Rafael Estevam lands 2.06 per min while Felipe Bunes is connecting on 4.49 significant strikes per min. Estevam is connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he attempts while Bunes lands 53%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Macapa" absorbs 2.94 significant strikes per min and "Felipinho" takes 7.86. Estevam also curbs 45% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Bunes prevents 41% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC Vegas 108 | Rafael Estevam | Felipe Bunes |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -460 | +360 |
Record | 13-0-0 | 14-7-0 |
Average Fight Time | 12:28 | 5:48 |
Height | 5'8" | 5'7" |
Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
Reach | 69" | 69" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.06 | 4.49 |
Striking Accuracy | 57% | 53% |
Regarding wrestling, Rafael Estevam is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he scores a takedown 6.41 times per 3 rds. Estevam is finishing his takedown attempts on 35% of his tries and is stuffing 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Bunes is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 10% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Estevam is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.4 subs per 15 minutes while Bunes goes for 2.6 subs per 15 minutes.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Rafael Estevam fought Jesus Aguilar and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Aguilar ended up landing 41 of 95 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Estevam walked away from this fight having landed 60 of 96 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Aguilar landed 35 of 87, which means his percentage was 40%. He landed 26 of 75 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Estevam landed 36% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 11 of 30. Out of those significant strikes, he was 6 of 20 to the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Aguilar and 81% of them connected on by Estevam were tallied at a distance.
In the last fight for Felipe Bunes, he battled Jose Johnson and ended up winning this fight by way of an armbar in round 1. Johnson connected on 87% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Bunes ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Bunes landed 28% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 2 of 7. He landed 2 of 7 significant strikes directed at the head. Johnson landed 8 of 14 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 3 of 8 directed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Johnson connected on 8 of 15 while Bunes was 5 of 10 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts on the card to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Karol Rosa squares up in the Octagon against Nora Cornolle. Rosa will be looking to add a victory to her total of 18-7-0. The 30-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Cornolle measures 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 9-2-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 67". When it comes to grappling, Karol Rosa takes her opponents to the mat 1.09 times per 15 min while Nora Cornolle is able to score a takedown 0.33 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Rosa connects on 6.22 strikes per min and landing 55% out of all the strikes she attempts. Joining her in the Octagon is Nora Cornolle, who is landing 54% of the strikes she has attempted and is connecting on 3.07 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Ketlen Souza is set to encounter Piera Rodriguez. Rodriguez will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 10-2-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Souza stands 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 15-5-0. The 30-year-old stretches 63". Regarding wrestling, Piera Rodriguez is stopping 66% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 51% of the times she tries. Souza is taking her opponents down on 25% of her tries and prevents 64% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Rodriguez takes 2.63 strikes/min while she is dealing 3.40 strikes/min. Souza, on the other side, is absorbing 4.46 strikes/min and is dealing 4.92 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Rafael Estevam (-460)
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