Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos Pick, 11/08/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 111 Odds

Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos

UFC Vegas 111

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, November 8, 2025

Ricky Simon will battle Raoni Barcelos at UFC Vegas 111 on Saturday, November 8, 2025. The opening moneyline has Simon at -160 while Barcelos is priced at +140.

Ricky Simon steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 22-6-0. The 33-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Raoni Barcelos measures 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 20-5-0. The 38-year-old reaches 67". Regarding significant strikes, Ricky Simon connects on 2.93 per minute while Raoni Barcelos connects on 4.87 significant strikes per min. Simon is landing 44% of the significant strikes he throws and Barcelos is connecting on 52%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Simon absorbs 3.72 significant strikes per min and Barcelos allows 4.40. Simon also defends against 61% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Barcelos thwarts 60% of them.

In the category of takedowns, Ricky Simon is the more effective wrestler as he scores a takedown 5.01 times per 15 minutes. Simon is getting his opponent to the mat on 43% of his attempts and is stopping 75% of the takedowns his opponents try. Barcelos is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his takedown tries and defending 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Simon is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes while Barcelos goes for 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Ricky Simon fought Cameron Smotherman and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Smotherman landed 33 of 104 total strikes attempted in that fight. Simon ended the night having landed 50 of 94 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Smotherman ended up landing 29 of 99 , which gave him a percentage of 29%. He ended up landing 23 of 89 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Simon ended up landing 45% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 34 of 74 . Out of those significant strikes, he landed 22 of 62 pointed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes connected on by Smotherman and 82% of them landed by Simon were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Raoni Barcelos, he fought Cody Garbrandt and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Garbrandt ended up landing 78% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Barcelos landed 89% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Barcelos connected on 43% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 37 of 85 . He landed 31 of 75 significant strikes aimed at the head. Garbrandt ended up landing 28 of 94 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 23 of 85 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Garbrandt landed 45 of 111 while Barcelos connected on 43 of 93 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Christian Leroy Duncan squares up with Marco Tulio. Leroy Duncan holds a record of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The switch fighter has an arm span of 79". Tulio measures 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 14-1-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding grappling, Christian Leroy Duncan takes his opponents down 0.22 times per 3 rounds and Marco Tulio takes his opponents to the canvas 0.88 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Leroy Duncan is connecting on 4.83 strikes/min and connecting on 59% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Marco Tulio, who lands 60% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 7.54 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Jamall Emmers is set to enter the Octagon with Hyder Amil. Amil looks to add a win to his record of 11-1-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 70". Emmers measures in at 5'10" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-8-0. The 36-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to takedowns, Hyder Amil is preventing 81% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 20% of his tries. Emmers is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his attempts and prevents 80% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Amil is absorbing 4.18 strikes/min and he deals 6.84 strikes per min. Emmers, on the other hand, absorbs 4.07 strikes/minute and lands 5.45 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Ricky Simon (-160)

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