Rodolfo Bellato vs Paul Craig Pick, 05/17/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 106 Odds
Rodolfo Bellato vs Paul Craig
UFC Vegas 106
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, May 17, 2025
Rodolfo Bellato will enter the Octagon with Paul Craig at UFC Vegas 106 on Saturday, May 17, 2025. The odds have Bellato priced at -500 while Craig is coming in at +380.
Rodolfo "Trator" Bellato walks into the cage with a record of 12-2-1. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Paul "Bearjew" Craig measures in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-9-1. The 37-year-old extends his reach 76". Concerning significant strikes, Rodolfo Bellato is landing 6.28 per minute and Paul Craig is connecting on 2.52 significant strikes per minute. Bellato connects on 62% of the significant strikes he throws and Craig is connecting on 44%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Trator" takes 6.31 significant strikes per minute and "Bearjew" allows 3.03. Bellato also stops 46% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Craig prevents 43% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 106 | Rodolfo Bellato | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -500 | +380 |
| Record | 12-2-1 | 17-9-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:40 | 8:20 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 77" | 76" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.28 | 2.52 |
| Striking Accuracy | 62% | 44% |
Concerning wrestling, Rodolfo Bellato is not as efficient of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 1.06 times per 3 rounds. Bellato is scoring a takedown on 30% of his attempts and is stuffing 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Craig is taking his opponents down on 20% of his takedown tries and stuffing 37% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submission attempts, Bellato is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Craig tries 1.4 subs per 3 rounds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Rodolfo Bellato squared up with Jimmy Crute and ended up in a draw by majority decision in round 3. Crute landed 139 of 247 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Bellato walked away from this fight having landed 95 of 148 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Crute landed 106 of 209, giving him a percentage of 50%. He ended up landing 93 of 190 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Bellato ended up landing 63% of his significant strikes by connecting on 89 of 141. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 36 of 76 to the head. 72% of the significant strikes landed by Crute and 95% of them connected on by Bellato were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Paul Craig, he faced off with Bo Nickal and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Nickal ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Craig landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Craig ended up connecting on 36% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 47 of 129. He ended up landing 21 of 93 significant strikes aimed at the head. Nickal landed 54 of 85 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 24 of 50 to the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Nickal was 54 of 85 and Craig was 48 of 130 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to watch out for
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Sodiq Yusuff squares up against Mairon Santos. Yusuff looks to add a victory to his career record of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Santos measures in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-1-0. The 24-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of takedowns, Sodiq Yusuff scores a takedown 0.28 times per 3 rds while Mairon Santos is averaging a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Yusuff tags his opponents 5.66 strikes per minute and lands 49% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Mairon Santos, who connects on 45% of the strikes that he throws and lands 4.14 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Nursulton Ruziboev is set to square up with Dustin Stoltzfus. Stoltzfus steps into the Octagon holding a record of 16-6-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Ruziboev stands 6'5" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 35-9-2 (2 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 76". Regarding takedowns, Dustin Stoltzfus thwarts 46% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of the times he tries. Ruziboev is finishing his takedown tries on 85% of the attempts he tries and curbs 15% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Stoltzfus takes 3.29 strikes/minute and he deals 3.47 per min. Ruziboev, in contrast, is taking 3.78 strikes per minute and is dealing 2.75 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Paul Craig (+380)
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