Roman Dolidze vs Anthony Hernandez Pick, 08/09/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 109 Odds
Roman Dolidze vs Anthony Hernandez
UFC Vegas 109
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, August 9, 2025
Roman Dolidze will take on Anthony Hernandez at UFC Vegas 109 on Saturday, August 9, 2025. The line has Dolidze priced at +270 while Hernandez is priced at -330.
Roman Dolidze comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-3-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Anthony "Fluffy" Hernandez measures 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 14-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 75". With respect to significant strikes, Roman Dolidze lands 3.58 per minute while Anthony Hernandez is landing 4.50 significant strikes per min. Dolidze is landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempts while Hernandez lands 63%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Dolidze absorbs 3.56 significant strikes per minute while "Fluffy" allows 2.61. Dolidze also deflects 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Hernandez defends against 46% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 109 | Roman Dolidze | Anthony Hernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +270 | -330 |
| Record | 15-3-0 | 14-2-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 12:24 | 9:47 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'0" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 76" | 75" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.58 | 4.50 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 63% |
In terms of wrestling, Roman Dolidze is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.11 times per 3 rds. Dolidze is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of the times he tries and is stopping 33% of the tries against him. Hernandez is scoring a takedown on 45% of his takedown tries and thwarting 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submissions, Dolidze is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.9 submissions per 3 rds while Hernandez tries 1.9 submissions per 15 minutes.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Roman Dolidze squared up with Marvin Vettori and took home the win via unanimous decision in round 5. Vettori ended up landing 112 of 221 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Dolidze walked away from this fight having landed 141 of 340 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Vettori ended up landing 111 of 220, which gave him a rate of 50%. He landed 72 of 173 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Dolidze ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes by connecting on 141 of 338. Of all the significant strikes, he was 85 of 253 aimed at the head. 99% of the significant strikes landed by Vettori and 97% of them connected on by Dolidze were done at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Anthony Hernandez, he faced off with Brendan Allen and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Allen ended up landing 71% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Hernandez landed 40% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Hernandez landed 71% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 30 of 42. He ended up connecting on 30 of 42 significant strikes to the head. Allen landed 14 of 26 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 8 of 19 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Allen ended up connecting on 53 of 71 and Hernandez was 72 of 91 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts on the card to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Steve Erceg fights Ode Osbourne. Erceg has a record of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Osbourne stands 5'7" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 13-8-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding grappling, Steve Erceg gets his opposition to the mat 0.84 times per 15 minutes and Ode Osbourne takes his opponents down 1.11 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Erceg is landing 4.45 strikes per min and connects on 46% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Ode Osbourne, who tags the opposition on 40% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 3.20 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Christian Rodriguez is set to fight Andre Fili. Fili walks into the Octagon with a record of 24-12-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Rodriguez stands in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-3-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 71". Regarding takedowns, Andre Fili is able to stop 70% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 44% of his attempts. Rodriguez is finishing his takedown tries on 46% of his tries and is able to thwart 69% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Fili takes 4.15 strikes per min while he dishes out 3.84 strikes/min. Rodriguez, on the other side, absorbs 2.66 strikes per minute and deals 3.63 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Roman Dolidze (+270)
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