Serghei Spivac vs Shamil Gaziev Pick, 11/22/2025 Predictions UFC Qatar Odds
Serghei Spivac vs Shamil Gaziev
UFC Qatar
ABHA Arena in Doha, Qatar
Saturday, November 22, 2025
Serghei Spivac will enter the Octagon against Shamil Gaziev at UFC Qatar on Saturday, November 22, 2025. The opening odds have Spivac priced at +130 while Gaziev is priced at -150.
Serghei "Polar Bear" Spivac will be looking to add a win to his career record of 17-6-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 260 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Shamil Gaziev measures 6'4" and tips the scales at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 14-1-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 78". Regarding significant strikes, Serghei Spivac is landing 3.45 per minute while Shamil Gaziev is landing 2.57 significant strikes per min. Spivac lands 48% of the significant strikes he tries while Gaziev is landing 48%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Polar Bear" takes 4.25 significant strikes per minute while Gaziev allows 3.87. Spivac also prevents 50% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Gaziev deflects 44% of the strikes thrown his way.

| UFC Qatar | Serghei Spivac | Shamil Gaziev |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +130 | -150 |
| Record | 17-6-0 | 14-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:54 | 9:21 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'4" |
| Weight | 260 lbs | 265 lbs |
| Reach | 78" | 78" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.45 | 2.57 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 48% |
In the wrestling category, Serghei Spivac is the more capable wrestler as he takes his opponents down 4.21 times per 3 rds. Spivac is getting his opponent to the mat on 62% of his tries and defending 63% of the takedowns his opponents try. Gaziev is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 83% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Spivac is the more able fighter by attempting 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Gaziev looks to get 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his previous bout, Serghei Spivac faced Waldo Cortes Acosta and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Acosta ended up landing 111 of 236 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Spivac walked away from this fight having landed 53 of 124 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Acosta landed 110 of 235, which means his percentage was 46%. He landed 76 of 196 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Spivac ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by landing 48 of 119. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 39 of 109 to the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Acosta and 93% of them connected on by Spivac were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Shamil Gaziev, he squared up with Thomas Petersen and wound up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 1. Petersen ended up connecting on 94% of his significant strikes at distance while Gaziev connected on 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gaziev ended up landing 43% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 14 of 32. He connected on 9 of 27 significant strikes to the head. Petersen ended up landing 19 of 34 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 18 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Petersen ended up connecting on 19 of 35 while Gaziev landed 14 of 32 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts on the card to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Alex Perez squares up in the Octagon against Asu Almabayev. Perez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 25-9-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 65". Almabayev stands in at 5'4" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 22-3-0. The 31-year-old reaches 65". In terms of takedowns, Alex Perez is averaging a takedown 2.04 times per 15 min while Asu Almabayev scores a takedown 4.66 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Perez is landing 4.19 strikes/min and is landing 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Asu Almabayev, who is landing 54% of his attempted strikes and connects on 2.16 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Rafael Cerquiera is set to battle Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev. Rakhman Yakhyaev holds a record of 7-0-0. The 24-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Cerquiera comes in at 6'3" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 11-3-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 76". When it comes to takedowns, Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is able to defend against 85% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 15% of the times he tries. Cerquiera is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 40% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Rakhman Yakhyaev absorbs 2.00 strikes/minute and he is dealing 32.00 per min. Cerquiera, in contrast, is taking 4.88 strikes per min and dishes out 1.61 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Serghei Spivac (+130)
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