Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta Pick, 06/07/2025 Predictions UFC 316 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/4/2025

Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

UFC 316

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, June 7, 2025

Serghei Spivac will face off with Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC 316 on Saturday, June 7, 2025. The opening odds have Spivac coming in at -135 while Cortes-Acosta is at +114.

Serghei "Polar Bear" Spivac steps into the Octagon with a mark of 17-5-0. The 30-year-old weighs 260 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Waldo "Salsa Boy" Cortes-Acosta measures 6'4" and weighs 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 13-1-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 78". Concerning significant strikes, Serghei Spivac is connecting on 3.49 per minute and Waldo Cortes-Acosta connects on 5.76 significant strikes per min. Spivac is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he throws and Cortes-Acosta is landing 49%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Polar Bear" takes 3.77 significant strikes per minute while "Salsa Boy" allows 3.47. Spivac also deflects 48% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Cortes-Acosta curbs 55% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Serghei Spivac ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 316	Serghei Spivac	Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Opening Odds	-135	+114
Record	17-5-0	13-1-0
Average Fight Time	7:21	11:26
Height	6'3"	6'4"
Weight	260 lbs	260 lbs
Reach	78"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.49	5.76
Striking Accuracy	49%	49%

When it comes to grappling, Serghei Spivac is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 4.56 times per 3 rounds. Spivac is scoring a takedown on 65% of his tries and stuffing 63% of all takedowns attempted on him. Cortes-Acosta is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submissions, Spivac is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.6 submissions per 3 rds while Cortes-Acosta attempts 0.2 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Serghei Spivac fought Jailton Almeida and ended up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Almeida ended up landing 36 of 49 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Spivac ended the night having landed 34 of 47 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Almeida landed 23 of 31 , giving him a percentage of 74%. He finished the fight landing 20 of 27 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Spivac landed 53% of his significant strikes by sticking 15 of 28 . In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 14 of 27 aimed at the head. 30% of the significant strikes connected on by Almeida and 13% of them connected on by Spivac were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Waldo Cortes-Acosta, he battled Ryan Spann and wound up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Spann ended up landing 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Cortes-Acosta ended up connecting on 89% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Cortes-Acosta landed 59% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 66 of 111 . He connected on 56 of 97 significant strikes to the head. Spann connected on 23 of 86 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 11 of 70 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Spann ended up connecting on 24 of 87 while Cortes-Acosta landed 77 of 123 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Khaos Williams encounters Andreas Gustafsson. Williams looks to add a win to his total of 15-4-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Gustafsson comes in at 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 11-2-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 73". When it comes to grappling, Khaos Williams takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 15 min and Andreas Gustafsson takes his opponents to the canvas 3.60 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Williams tags his opponents 5.36 strikes/min and lands 38% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Andreas Gustafsson, who is connecting on 77% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 4.56 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Yanal Ashmouz is set to square up in the Octagon with Quillan Salkilld. Salkilld looks to add a victory to his total of 8-1-0. The 25-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Ashmouz measures in at 5'9" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 8-1-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 69". Concerning grappling, Quillan Salkilld is able to stop 85% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his tries. Ashmouz is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the tries he takes and thwarts 60% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Salkilld is absorbing 4.18 strikes per min and he deals 5.68 per minute. Ashmouz, on the other side, absorbs 4.54 strikes/minute and is landing 2.94 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Waldo Cortes-Acosta (+114)

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Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta Pick, 06/07/2025 Predictions UFC 316 Odds

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