Sodiq Yusuff vs Mairon Santos Pick, 05/17/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 106 Odds
Sodiq Yusuff vs Mairon Santos
UFC Vegas 106
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, May 17, 2025
Sodiq Yusuff will enter the Octagon with Mairon Santos at UFC Vegas 106 on Saturday, May 17, 2025. The opener has Yusuff priced at +105 while Santos is priced at -125.
Sodiq "Super" Yusuff looks to add a victory to his career record of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Mairon "The Legend" Santos measures in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-1-0. The 24-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of significant strikes, Sodiq Yusuff lands 5.66 per minute while Mairon Santos is landing 4.14 significant strikes per minute. Yusuff lands 49% of the significant strikes he throws while Santos connects on 45%. In terms of defending themselves, "Super" allows 4.51 significant strikes per minute and "The Legend" allows 2.37. Yusuff also defends against 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Santos prevents 70% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 106 | Sodiq Yusuff | Mairon Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +105 | -125 |
| Record | 13-4-0 | 16-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:51 | 10:45 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.66 | 4.14 |
| Striking Accuracy | 49% | 45% |
When it comes to grappling, Sodiq Yusuff is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.28 times per 3 rounds. Yusuff is taking his opponents to the canvas on 20% of the times he tries and is stopping 62% of the takedowns his opponents try. Santos is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his takedown tries and is defending 40% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Yusuff is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes while Santos goes for 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his previous bout, Sodiq Yusuff squared up with Diego Lopes and was defeated by a punch to the head in round 1. Lopes ended up landing 29 of 35 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Yusuff walked away from this fight having landed 2 of 5 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Lopes ended up landing 26 of 32, which gave him a rate of 81%. He ended up landing 21 of 27 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Yusuff landed 40% of his significant strikes by connecting on 2 of 5. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 1 pointed at the head. 11% of the significant strikes landed by Lopes and 100% of them connected on by Yusuff were tallied at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Mairon Santos, he fought Francis Marshall and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Marshall ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Santos ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Santos landed 44% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 58 of 129. He ended up connecting on 29 of 80 significant strikes to the head. Marshall connected on 39 of 143 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 32 of 136 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go, Marshall landed 64 of 179 while Santos ended up landing 78 of 154 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Dustin Stoltzfus faces off against Nursulton Ruziboev. Stoltzfus steps into the Octagon holding a record of 16-6-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Ruziboev stands 6'5" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 35-9-2 (2 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 76". Regarding grappling, Dustin Stoltzfus takes his opponents down 2.31 times per 3 rounds while Nursulton Ruziboev is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Stoltzfus is connecting on 3.47 strikes per minute and is landing 44% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Nursulton Ruziboev, who tags his opponent on 44% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 2.75 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Melquizael Costa is set to square up with Julian Erosa. Erosa steps into the Octagon with a mark of 31-12-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 74". Costa stands in at 5'10" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 23-7-0. The 28-year-old stretches 71". In the category of takedowns, Julian Erosa is able to defend against 63% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 48% of his tries. Costa is finishing his takedowns on 34% of his tries and curbs 54% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Erosa is taking 6.21 strikes/min and he connects on 6.40 per minute. Costa, at the same time, takes 2.72 strikes per minute and dishes out 3.86 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sodiq Yusuff (+105)
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