Talita Alencar vs Ariane Carnelossi Pick, 11/01/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 110 Odds
Talita Alencar vs Ariane Carnelossi
UFC Vegas 110
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 1, 2025
Talita Alencar will enter the Octagon with Ariane Carnelossi at UFC Vegas 110 on Saturday, November 1, 2025. The moneyline has Alencar coming in at -210 while Carnelossi is priced at +180.
Talita "Problem Child" Alencar walks into the cage with a record of 6-1-1. The 35-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 58". Ariane "Sorriso" Carnelossi measures in at 5'2" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 15-3-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 61". Regarding significant strikes, Talita Alencar is landing 2.62 per min and Ariane Carnelossi is landing 2.87 significant strikes per min. Alencar connects on 33% of the significant strikes she tries while Carnelossi lands 39%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Problem Child" allows 3.77 significant strikes per minute while "Sorriso" absorbs 4.74. Alencar also deflects 53% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Carnelossi is able to thwart 45% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 110 | Talita Alencar | Ariane Carnelossi |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -210 | +180 |
| Record | 6-1-1 | 15-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 10:55 |
| Height | 5'1" | 5'2" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 58" | 61" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.62 | 2.87 |
| Striking Accuracy | 33% | 39% |
In the category of takedowns, Talita Alencar is the better wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.50 times per 3 rds. Alencar is getting her opponent to the mat on 20% of the times she tries and defending 50% of all takedown attempts. Carnelossi is getting her opponent to the mat on 55% of her takedown tries and is stopping 14% of the attempts against her. When it comes to going for the submission, Alencar is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.2 subs per 15 minutes while Carnelossi attempts 0.3 subs per 3 rds.
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In her last fight, Talita Alencar faced Vanessa Demopoulos and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Demopoulos ended up landing 34 of 63 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Alencar finished this fight landing 107 of 150 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Demopoulos ended up landing 10 of 34, which gave her a rate of 29%. She landed 9 of 31 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Alencar ended up landing 60% of her significant strikes by landing 45 of 75. Out of those significant strikes, she was 39 of 67 aimed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Demopoulos and 28% of them landed by Alencar were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Ariane Carnelossi, she fought Piera Rodriguez and took home the victory via a headbutt from Rodriguez in round 2. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 55% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Carnelossi landed 75% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Carnelossi ended up landing 32% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 16 of 49. She ended up landing 13 of 43 significant strikes directed at the head. Rodriguez landed 40 of 81 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 34 of 73 to the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Rodriguez connected on 51 of 102 while Carnelossi landed 46 of 89 of all the strikes she attempted.
Other fights to keep an eye on
One more match to look forward to is when Steve Garcia meets David Onama. Garcia steps into the Octagon with a record of 18-5-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands 6'0". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". Onama stands in at 5'11" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old reaches 74". Concerning takedowns, Steve Garcia takes his opponents to the canvas 0.90 times per 15 minutes while David Onama is averaging a takedown 1.08 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Garcia connects for an average of 5.18 strikes/min and connecting on 48% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got David Onama, who connects on 50% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 5.24 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Ante Delija is set to enter the Octagon with Waldo Cortes-Acosta. Cortes-Acosta walks into the cage holding a record of 14-2-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 260 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Delija stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 239 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 26-6-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 78". Regarding wrestling, Waldo Cortes-Acosta stops 71% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his attempts. Delija is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and defends against 15% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Cortes-Acosta is absorbing 3.51 strikes/minute while he connects on 5.61 strikes/min. Delija, on the contrary, is taking 1.95 strikes per min and is dealing 6.34 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Talita Alencar (-210)
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