Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan Pick, 12/06/2025 Predictions UFC 323 Odds
Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan
UFC 323
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, December 6, 2025
Terrance McKinney will take on Chris Duncan at UFC 323 on Saturday, December 6, 2025. The opener has McKinney priced at +135 while Duncan is priced at -155.
Terrance "T. Wrecks" McKinney walks into the cage holding a record of 17-7-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The switch fighter reaches 73". Chris "The Problem" Duncan measures 5'10" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old reaches 71". In terms of significant strikes, Terrance McKinney is connecting on 5.78 per min while Chris Duncan lands 4.64 significant strikes per min. McKinney is landing 56% of the significant strikes he tries while Duncan is landing 44%. Regarding defense, "T. Wrecks" absorbs 2.58 significant strikes per minute and "The Problem" allows 4.53. McKinney also stops 47% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Duncan is able to defend against 51% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC 323 | Terrance McKinney | Chris Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +135 | -155 |
| Record | 17-7-0 | 14-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 2:47 | 8:17 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.78 | 4.64 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 44% |
Concerning takedowns, Terrance McKinney is the more effective grappler as he gets a takedown 3.59 times per 15 min. McKinney is scoring a takedown on 40% of his tries and thwarting 77% of all takedown attempts. Duncan is finishing his takedown tries on 42% of his takedown tries and thwarting 50% of the attempts against him. Regarding subbing opponents, McKinney is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 2.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Duncan attempts 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.
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The last time he fought, Terrance McKinney went up against Viacheslav Borshchev and ended up getting the win via guillotine choke in round 1. Borshchev landed 2 of 2 total strikes that he threw in that contest. McKinney ended the night having landed 1 of 2 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Borshchev ended up landing 2 of 2 , giving him a percentage of 100%. He finished the fight landing 0 of 0 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, McKinney ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 1 of 2 . Of those significant strikes, he landed 1 of 2 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Borshchev and 0% of them connected on by McKinney were done at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Chris Duncan, he fought Mateusz Rebecki and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Rebecki landed 91% of his significant strikes at distance while Duncan ended up landing 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Duncan landed 41% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 92 of 222 . He ended up connecting on 67 of 181 significant strikes aimed at the head. Rebecki landed 114 of 267 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 88 of 235 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Rebecki landed 123 of 278 while Duncan connected on 95 of 225 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights on the card to watch out for
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Nazim Sadykhov squares up against Fares Ziam. Sadykhov holds a career record of 11-1-1. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 69". Ziam comes in at 6'1" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-4-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 75". In the grappling category, Nazim Sadykhov gets a takedown 1.29 times per 3 rds and Fares Ziam scores a takedown 1.62 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Sadykhov connects on 5.55 strikes per min and connects on 50% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Fares Ziam, who is landing 51% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 2.85 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Brunno Ferreira is set to battle Marvin Vettori. Vettori walks into the Octagon with a mark of 19-9-1. The 32-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 74". Ferreira comes in at 5'10" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 14-2-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". When it comes to takedowns, Marvin Vettori curbs 65% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 45% of his tries. Ferreira is finishing his takedown tries on 28% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Vettori is taking 4.52 strikes per min while he is connecting on 4.68 per min. Ferreira, on the other side, is taking 3.34 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.41 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Terrance McKinney (+135)
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