Trevin Giles vs Andreas Gustafsson Pick, 05/31/2025 Predictions UFC Vegas 107 Odds

Trevin Giles vs Andreas Gustafsson

UFC Vegas 107

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 31, 2025

Trevin Giles will face off against Andreas Gustafsson at UFC Vegas 107 on Saturday, May 31, 2025. The opening moneyline has Giles at +130 while Gustafsson is at -155.

Trevin Giles steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-7-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Andreas "Bane" Gustafsson comes in at 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 11-2-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Concerning significant strikes, Trevin Giles lands 3.17 per min while Andreas Gustafsson is connecting on 4.56 significant strikes per minute. Giles is landing 54% of the significant strikes he tries while Gustafsson is landing 77%. In terms of defending themselves, Giles takes 2.39 significant strikes per min and "Bane" allows 3.12. Giles also stops 58% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Gustafsson is able to deflect 43% of the strikes thrown his way.

When it comes to wrestling, Trevin Giles is the lesser skilled wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.07 times per 15 min. Giles is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the times he tries and stuffing 72% of all takedown attempts. Gustafsson is taking his opponents to the mat on 66% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submission attempts, Giles is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds while Gustafsson attempts 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Trevin Giles squared up with Mike Malott and was defeated by unanimous decision in round 3. Malott landed 59 of 130 total strikes that he let go. Giles ended the night having landed 34 of 78 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Malott ended up landing 59 of 130, which means his percentage was 45%. He landed 22 of 82 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Giles landed 43% of his significant strikes by sticking 34 of 78. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 23 of 64 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Malott and 100% of them landed by Giles were done at distance.

In the last fight for Andreas Gustafsson, he faced off with Pat Pytlik and got a win for the night by knees to the head in round 2. Pytlik ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes at distance while Gustafsson ended up connecting on 10% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Gustafsson landed 77% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 38 of 49. He landed 23 of 33 significant strikes directed at the head. Pytlik landed 26 of 46 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 9 of 24 directed at the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Pytlik was 43 of 64 while Gustafsson ended up connecting on 51 of 66 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Kurt Holobaugh goes up against Jordan Leavitt. Holobaugh walks into the Octagon with a record of 22-9-0 (1 NC). The 38-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Leavitt stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 11-3-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of takedowns, Kurt Holobaugh gets a takedown 0.66 times per 3 rounds and Jordan Leavitt gets a takedown 2.19 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Holobaugh is connecting on 4.65 strikes/minute and is connecting on 45% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Jordan Leavitt, who tags the opposition on 61% of the strikes he has tried and lands 2.55 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Bolaji Oki is set to go up against MarQuel Mederos. Mederos steps into the cage with a record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Oki stands in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 73". In terms of grappling, MarQuel Mederos is able to thwart 85% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the mat on 5% of the times he tries. Oki is finishing his takedown tries on 75% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 85% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Mederos absorbs 2.61 strikes/min while he is dishing out 3.75 strikes per min. Oki, notwithstanding, absorbs 2.58 strikes per min and is connecting on 5.63 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Andreas Gustafsson (-155)

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