Valentina Shevchenko vs Manon Fiorot Pick, 05/10/2025 Predictions UFC 315 Odds
Valentina Shevchenko vs Manon Fiorot
UFC 315
Bell Centre in Montreal
Saturday, May 10, 2025
Valentina Shevchenko will enter the Octagon against Manon Fiorot at UFC 315 on Saturday, May 10, 2025. The line has Shevchenko at +120 while Fiorot is coming in at -142.
Valentina "Bullet" Shevchenko steps into the cage with a mark of 24-4-1. The 37-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Manon "The Beast" Fiorot stands in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 12-1-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 65". When talking about significant strikes, Valentina Shevchenko is landing 3.16 per minute and Manon Fiorot is landing 6.26 significant strikes per min. Shevchenko lands 52% of the significant strikes she tries and Fiorot is landing 41%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Bullet" absorbs 2.00 significant strikes per minute while "The Beast" absorbs 3.77. Shevchenko also prevents 64% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Fiorot stops 68% of the strikes thrown her way.

UFC 315 | Valentina Shevchenko | Manon Fiorot |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | +120 | -142 |
Record | 24-4-1 | 12-1-0 |
Average Fight Time | 18:22 | 14:35 |
Height | 5'5" | 5'7" |
Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
Reach | 66" | 65" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.16 | 6.26 |
Striking Accuracy | 52% | 41% |
In the category of takedowns, Valentina Shevchenko is the more apt wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.74 times per 15 min. Shevchenko is getting her opponent to the mat on 64% of her tries and stuffing 71% of the takedowns her opponents try. Fiorot is taking her opponents to the canvas on 42% of her takedown tries and defending 93% of the attempts against her. In terms of submissions, Shevchenko is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.3 finishes per 3 rds while Fiorot goes for 0.7 finishes per 15 min.
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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Valentina Shevchenko fought Alexa Grasso and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 5. Grasso landed 153 of 245 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Shevchenko ended the night having landed 193 of 233 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Grasso landed 18 of 100, which gave her a rate of 18%. She finished the fight landing 8 of 74 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Shevchenko landed 56% of her significant strikes by sticking 45 of 80. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 38 of 71 aimed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Grasso and 86% of them landed by Shevchenko were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Manon Fiorot, she went up against Erin Blanchfield and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 5. Blanchfield ended up landing 95% of her significant strikes at distance and Fiorot landed 97% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Fiorot landed 47% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 172 of 359. She connected on 143 of 321 significant strikes directed at the head. Blanchfield ended up landing 130 of 386 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, she ended up landing 80 of 318 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that she let go in that contest, Blanchfield ended up connecting on 135 of 394 while Fiorot connected on 181 of 369 of all the strikes she threw.
Other bouts to watch out for
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Alexa Grasso opposes Natalia Silva. Grasso will be looking to add a win to her career total of 16-4-1. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Silva stands 5'4" and weighs 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to her record of 18-5-1. The 28-year-old extends her reach 65". In the grappling category, Alexa Grasso is able to score a takedown 0.54 times per 15 minutes while Natalia Silva takes her opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Grasso connects for an average of 4.19 strikes/min and landing 41% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Natalia Silva, who is landing 47% of the strikes she has attempted and lands 5.19 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Jasmine Jasudavicius is set to square up in the Octagon with Jessica Andrade. Andrade comes into this bout with a mark of 26-13-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Jasudavicius measures 5'7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-3-0. The 36-year-old extends her reach 68". Concerning wrestling, Jessica Andrade is able to stop 72% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 54% of her tries. Jasudavicius is taking her opponents down on 44% of the attempts she tries and is able to stop 75% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Andrade is taking 5.51 strikes per minute while she lands 6.44 per minute. Jasudavicius, in contrast, takes 3.67 strikes per min and connects on 3.71 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Valentina Shevchenko (+120)
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