Adam Fugitt vs Ty Miller Pick, 01/24/2026 Predictions UFC 324 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/22/2026

Adam Fugitt vs Ty Miller

UFC 324

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, January 24, 2026

Adam Fugitt will face off against Ty Miller at UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, 2026. The line has Fugitt at +350 while Miller is priced at -420.

Adam Fugitt will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-5-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 77". Ty "Thriller" Miller comes in at 6'2" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 6-0-0 (1 NC). The 25-year-old has a reach of 77". In the category of significant strikes, Adam Fugitt is connecting on 4.59 per min and Ty Miller is landing 5.60 significant strikes per minute. Fugitt is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he throws and Miller lands 34%. Regarding defense, Fugitt takes 4.54 significant strikes per minute and "Thriller" takes 3.80. Fugitt also defends 51% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Miller stops 70% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Adam Fugitt predictions best bet odds

UFC 324	Adam Fugitt	Ty Miller
Opening Odds	+350	-420
Record	10-5-0	6-0-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	8:11	15:00
Height	6'1"	6'2"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	77"	77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.59	5.60
Striking Accuracy	46%	34%

In terms of wrestling, Adam Fugitt is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.83 times per 15 minutes. Fugitt is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of the times he tries and defending 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Miller is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Fugitt is the more apt fighter by attempting 0.9 finishes per 15 min while Miller attempts 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Adam Fugitt went up against Islam Dulatov and wound up walking away in defeat by a punch to the head in round 1. Dulatov landed 23 of 44 total strikes attempted in that fight. Fugitt walked away from this fight having landed 16 of 29 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Dulatov ended up landing 21 of 41, which means his percentage was 51%. He ended up landing 17 of 37 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Fugitt ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes by sticking 14 of 27. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 5 of 16 pointed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes connected on by Dulatov and 92% of them landed by Fugitt were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Ty Miller, he went up against Jimmy Drago and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Drago landed 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Miller ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Miller ended up connecting on 34% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 84 of 246. He ended up landing 74 of 233 significant strikes to the head. Drago landed 57 of 191 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 32 of 162 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go, Drago ended up landing 59 of 194 while Miller was 89 of 251 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Natalia Silva takes on Rose Namajunas. Silva holds a record of 19-5-1. The 28-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter stretches 65". Namajunas measures in at 5'5" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-7-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 65". Regarding grappling, Natalia Silva is able to score a takedown 0.34 times per 3 rounds and Rose Namajunas takes her opponents to the canvas 1.49 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Silva is landing 5.04 strikes/min and connects on 46% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Rose Namajunas, who is landing 41% of the strikes she has thrown and lands an average of 3.60 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Paddy Pimblett is set to clash with Justin Gaethje. Gaethje looks to add a win to his career total of 26-5-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Pimblett stands in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 23-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 73". Concerning grappling, Justin Gaethje deflects 68% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 14% of his attempts. Pimblett is finishing his takedowns on 28% of his attempts and stops 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Gaethje is absorbing 7.18 strikes per minute while he deals 6.59 strikes per min. Pimblett, at the same time, is absorbing 3.14 strikes per min and is dishing out 5.19 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ty Miller (-420)

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Adam Fugitt vs Ty Miller Pick, 01/24/2026 Predictions UFC 324 Odds

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