Alden Coria vs Luis Gurule Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds

Alden Coria vs Luis Gurule

UFC Houston

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Alden Coria will battle Luis Gurule at UFC Houston on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The opener has Coria priced at -280 while Gurule is at +240.

Alden "Cobra" Coria steps into the Octagon with a mark of 11-3-0 (1 NC). The 27-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Luis "Grim" Gurule comes in at 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 10-2-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 64". Regarding significant strikes, Alden Coria lands 3.89 per min and Luis Gurule connects on 4.93 significant strikes per min. Coria lands 44% of the significant strikes he attempts while Gurule lands 42%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Cobra" absorbs 1.11 significant strikes per min and "Grim" allows 4.53. Coria also defends 78% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Gurule is able to thwart 61% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning takedowns, Alden Coria is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he is able to score a takedown 2.78 times per 15 min. Coria is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of his attempts and stuffing 75% of all takedown attempts. Gurule is taking his opponents to the mat on 9% of his takedown tries and is stopping 56% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Coria is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.9 subs per 15 min while Gurule goes for 0.4 subs per 3 rds.

Get all of our UFC Betting Picks

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Alden Coria went up against Alessandro Costa and took home the victory via a punch to the head in round 3. Costa landed 14 of 59 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Coria walked away from this fight having landed 77 of 131 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Costa landed 12 of 56, which gave him a percentage of 21%. He landed 7 of 37 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Coria landed 44% of his significant strikes by connecting on 42 of 95. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 34 of 85 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Costa and 69% of them connected on by Coria were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Luis Gurule, he went up against Jesus Aguilar and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Aguilar connected on 89% of his significant strikes at distance while Gurule ended up connecting on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Gurule landed 34% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 65 of 186. He connected on 43 of 157 significant strikes directed at the head. Aguilar landed 85 of 235 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 35 of 164 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Aguilar connected on 87 of 237 while Gurule was 73 of 195 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ramiz Brahimaj encounters Punahele Soriano. Brahimaj walks into the Octagon holding a record of 13-5-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Soriano measures 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-4-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding grappling, Ramiz Brahimaj takes his opponents down 1.74 times per 15 min while Punahele Soriano gets a takedown 1.83 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Brahimaj connects on 2.23 strikes per min and landing 46% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Punahele Soriano, who is connecting on 54% of the strikes he attempts and lands 4.66 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is set to clash with Phil Rowe. Rowe comes into this bout with a mark of 11-6-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Lebosnoyani measures in at 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 72". Regarding wrestling, Phil Rowe is preventing 50% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents down on 36% of his attempts. Lebosnoyani is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 15% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Rowe takes 4.12 strikes/min and he deals 3.50 strikes per min. Lebosnoyani, on the other hand, takes 5.29 strikes per min and lands 9.71 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Luis Gurule (+240)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Most Recent UFC Picks

• Jordan Leavitt vs Yadier del Valle Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
• Zach Reese vs Michel Pereira Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
• Ode Osbourne vs Alibi Idiris Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
• Phil Rowe vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
• Serghei Spivac vs Ante Delija Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
• Sean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
• Chidi Njokuani vs Carlos Leal Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
• Dan Ige vs Melquizael Costa Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
• Ramiz Brahimaj vs Punahele Soriano Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds
• Alden Coria vs Luis Gurule Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds