Alessandro Costa vs Stewart Nicoll Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
Alessandro Costa vs Stewart Nicoll
UFC Vegas 115
Meta APEX in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, April 4, 2026
Alessandro Costa will take on Stewart Nicoll at UFC Vegas 115 on Saturday, April 4, 2026. The opening odds have Costa priced at -400 while Nicoll is at +330.
Alessandro "Nono" Costa steps into the cage holding a record of 14-5-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures 5'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 67". Stewart "Kakamora" Nicoll stands 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 65". In the category of significant strikes, Alessandro Costa is landing 3.64 per min and Stewart Nicoll connects on 3.00 significant strikes per min. Costa is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he tries and Nicoll connects on 34%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Nono" takes 3.57 significant strikes per minute and "Kakamora" takes 6.69. Costa also curbs 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Nicoll is able to defend against 48% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 115 | Alessandro Costa | Stewart Nicoll |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -400 | +330 |
| Record | 14-5-0 | 8-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:56 | 8:50 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 67" | 65" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.64 | 3.00 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 34% |
Concerning takedowns, Alessandro Costa is the not as competent as a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.46 times per 15 min. Costa is finishing his takedown attempts on 16% of the times he tries and stuffing 83% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Nicoll is taking his opponents to the mat on 14% of his takedown tries and is stopping 25% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submission attempts, Costa is the more skilled fighter by attempting 0.5 subs per 3 rounds while Nicoll tries 0.2 subs per 15 min.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Alessandro Costa went up against Alden Coria and walked away in defeat by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Coria landed 77 of 131 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Costa finished this fight landing 14 of 59 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Coria landed 42 of 95, which gave him a rate of 44%. He finished the fight landing 34 of 85 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Costa landed 21% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 12 of 56. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 7 of 37 to the head. 69% of the significant strikes landed by Coria and 100% of them connected on by Costa were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Stewart Nicoll, he fought Lucas Rocha and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Rocha ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Nicoll landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Nicoll connected on 32% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 45 of 138. He ended up connecting on 41 of 133 significant strikes directed at the head. Rocha ended up connecting on 115 of 226 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 81 of 184 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Rocha ended up landing 130 of 244 while Nicoll ended up connecting on 46 of 139 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Lando Vannata enters the Octagon with Darrius Flowers. Vannata will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-7-2. The 34-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Flowers measures 5'9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 12-8-1. The 31-year-old has a reach of 71". Regarding grappling, Lando Vannata is averaging a takedown 1.09 times per 15 minutes and Darrius Flowers is averaging a takedown 0.98 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Vannata is connecting on 4.52 strikes per minute and lands 45% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Darrius Flowers, who tags his opponent on 49% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 3.07 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Tabatha Ricci is set to square up in the Octagon with Virna Jandiroba. Jandiroba comes into this fight holding a mark of 22-4-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Ricci comes in at 5'1" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 12-3-0. The 31-year-old stretches 61". Concerning grappling, Virna Jandiroba is able to thwart 74% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 37% of her tries. Ricci is taking her opponents to the mat on 37% of her tries and deflects 78% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Jandiroba is absorbing 2.90 strikes/minute and she is dealing 2.33 strikes per min. Ricci, at the same time, takes 5.19 strikes/minute and is landing 4.18 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Stewart Nicoll (+330)
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