Alexa Grasso vs Maycee Barber Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/27/2026

Alexa Grasso vs Maycee Barber

UFC Seattle

Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Alexa Grasso will face off against Maycee Barber at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The line has Grasso priced at +160 while Barber is at -185.

Alexa Grasso comes into this fight with a record of 16-5-1. The 32-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 66". Maycee "The Future" Barber measures in at 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 15-2-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 65". With respect to significant strikes, Alexa Grasso connects on 4.11 per minute and Maycee Barber is connecting on 4.61 significant strikes per min. Grasso connects on 41% of the significant strikes she tries while Barber is connecting on 53%. Regarding defense, Grasso allows 3.73 significant strikes per min while "The Future" takes 2.76. Grasso also stops 58% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Barber is able to stop 54% of the shots thrown in her direction.

UFC Seattle	Alexa Grasso	Maycee Barber
Opening Odds	+160	-185
Record	16-5-1	15-2-0
Average Fight Time	15:48	12:23
Height	5'5"	5'5"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	66"	65"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.11	4.61
Striking Accuracy	41%	53%

When it comes to grappling, Alexa Grasso is not as effective of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.41 times per 15 min. Grasso is scoring a takedown on 35% of the times she tries and defending 54% of the takedowns her opponents try. Barber is getting her opponent to the mat on 45% of her takedown tries and thwarting 51% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Grasso is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.6 subs per 3 rds while Barber attempts 0.1 subs per 3 rounds.

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In her previous fight, Alexa Grasso went up against Natalia Silva and ended up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Silva landed 74 of 173 total strikes attempted in that contest. Grasso walked away from this fight having landed 54 of 149 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Silva ended up landing 65 of 164, which means her percentage was 39%. She landed 42 of 137 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Grasso landed 32% of her significant strikes by connecting on 45 of 139. Of those significant strikes, she landed 28 of 101 to the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Silva and 95% of them landed by Grasso were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Maycee Barber, she went up against Karine Silva and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Silva ended up landing 76% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Barber ended up connecting on 54% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Barber landed 64% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 55 of 85. She connected on 41 of 66 significant strikes directed at the head. Silva landed 21 of 45 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 8 of 30 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that she let go in that contest, Silva connected on 57 of 87 while Barber ended up landing 89 of 130 total strikes.

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Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Casey O'Neill enters the Octagon with Gabriella Fernandes. O'Neill walks into the Octagon holding a record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Fernandes comes in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 11-3-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding grappling, Casey O'Neill is able to score a takedown 1.45 times per 15 min while Gabriella Fernandes takes her opponents to the canvas 0.44 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, O'Neill tags his opponents 7.89 strikes per minute and is landing 52% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Gabriella Fernandes, who is landing 48% of the strikes she has attempted and lands an average of 3.56 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Bruna Brasil is set to square up in the Octagon with Alexia Thainara. Thainara walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-1-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Brasil measures 5'6" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 11-6-1. The 32-year-old extends her reach 65". Concerning wrestling, Alexia Thainara prevents 85% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is getting her opponent to the mat on 60% of her tries. Brasil is taking her opponents to the mat on 55% of her tries and is able to curb 61% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Thainara is absorbing 2.46 strikes per minute and she is dealing 4.52 strikes per minute. Brasil, on the other side, is absorbing 3.59 strikes/minute and deals 2.57 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alexa Grasso (+160)

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Alexa Grasso vs Maycee Barber Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

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