Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes Pick, 01/31/2026 Predictions UFC 325 Odds

Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes

UFC 325

Qudos Bank Arena in South Wales, Australia

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Alexander Volkanovski will face off with Diego Lopes at UFC 325 on Saturday, January 31, 2026. The opening line has Volkanovski priced at -135 while Lopes is coming in at +115.

Alexander "The Great" Volkanovski steps into the cage holding a mark of 27-4-0. The 37-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Diego Lopes stands 5'11" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 27-7-0. The 31-year-old stretches 72". With respect to significant strikes, Alexander Volkanovski is landing 6.18 per min while Diego Lopes connects on 4.10 significant strikes per min. Volkanovski is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes he tries while Lopes connects on 48%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Great" takes 3.36 significant strikes per min while Lopes absorbs 4.72. Volkanovski also deflects 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Lopes defends against 47% of them.

In terms of takedowns, Alexander Volkanovski is the more efficient wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.67 times per 15 min. Volkanovski is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of his attempts and defending 70% of the takedowns his opponents try. Lopes is scoring a takedown on 55% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 67% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding sub attempts, Volkanovski is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.2 finishes per 3 rds while Lopes tries 1.7 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Alexander Volkanovski went up against Diego Lopes and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Lopes landed 71 of 203 total strikes attempted in that fight. Volkanovski walked away from this fight having landed 165 of 266 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Lopes ended up landing 63 of 194, giving him a percentage of 32%. He ended up landing 49 of 171 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Volkanovski landed 61% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 158 of 259. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 136 of 225 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Lopes and 89% of them connected on by Volkanovski were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Diego Lopes, he squared up with Jean Silva and wound up taking home the win by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Silva connected on 97% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Lopes connected on 41% of his significant strikes at distance. Lopes landed 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 74 of 135. He ended up connecting on 63 of 118 significant strikes aimed at the head. Silva landed 43 of 91 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 26 of 67 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Silva ended up connecting on 43 of 91 and Lopes ended up connecting on 86 of 154 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other Fights on the Card

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Dan Hooker fights Benoit Saint Denis. Hooker holds a mark of 24-13-0. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 6'0". The switch fighter has an arm span of 75". Saint Denis comes in at 5'11" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 16-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old has a reach of 73". In terms of takedowns, Dan Hooker takes his opponents down 0.71 times per 15 min while Benoit Saint Denis scores a takedown 4.33 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Hooker is landing 4.89 strikes per min and connecting on 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Benoit Saint Denis, who connects on 55% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 5.07 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Mauricio Ruffy is set to encounter Rafael Fiziev. Fiziev walks into the Octagon holding a record of 13-4-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The switch fighter extends his reach 71". Ruffy stands 5'11" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 75". Concerning wrestling, Rafael Fiziev is preventing 90% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 72% of the times he tries. Ruffy is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 84% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Fiziev takes 4.77 strikes per min and he is connecting on 4.77 strikes per minute. Ruffy, on the other hand, absorbs 4.16 strikes per min and is landing 3.84 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alexander Volkanovski (-135)

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